Italy - Serie BStadio Renzo BarberaData current as of September 18, 2026

Palermo vs Calcio Padova: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Palermo vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Palermo plays Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: Stadio Renzo Barbera.

Recent form

Palermo has 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.50 points per game. Calcio Padova has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 1.75 points per game.

Scoring records

Palermo scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.00. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 75% of Palermo's games and 50% of Calcio Padova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Palermo has the higher season xG average, 1.61 to 1.18 per game. Palermo takes 14.0 shots per game, while Calcio Padova takes 10.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Palermo leads at halftime in 75% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Calcio Padova leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Palermo's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Calcio Padova, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.55)
(4.20)
(5.30)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

PalermoCalcio Padova
2Goals scored / game1
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals allowed / game1
PalermoCalcio Padova
51%Average possession41%
PalermoCalcio Padova
5Shots on target / game3.75
PalermoCalcio Padova

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game10.25
PalermoCalcio Padova
5Shots on target3.75
PalermoCalcio Padova
14.3%Shot conversion9.8%
PalermoCalcio Padova
51%Possession41%
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.61xG for1.18
PalermoCalcio Padova
1.56xG against1.7
PalermoCalcio Padova

Shooting quality

Palermo: AttackingCalcio Padova: Balanced
PalermoCalcio Padova
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Palermo is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2.5 pts / game - Palermo · 1.75 pts / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo
WWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 75%Over 2.5: 50%
Calcio Padova
WDLW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-1
1.75 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 25%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Palermo is 100% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Palermo · 1 goals / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo scoring profile: very strong

Palermo scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 games).

Calcio Padova scoring profile: very strong

Calcio Padova scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).

8Goals scored (season)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (season)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
3Average goals per game2
PalermoCalcio Padova
8Goals scored (last 5)4
PalermoCalcio Padova
4Goals conceded (last 5)4
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%2 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%3 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%2 goals25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%3 goals25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%4 goals0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
50%Scored in both halves0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
75%BTTS - last 550%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PalermoCalcio Padova

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PalermoCalcio Padova
75%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Palermo is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.5 pts / game - Palermo · 1.25 pts / game - Calcio Padova

Palermo - half-time state
75% leading25% draw0% trailing
Calcio Padova - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.5Points per game (1st half)1.25
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (1st half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Average goals (1st half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
100%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%No goal before half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)1.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
PalermoCalcio Padova
2Average goals (2nd half)1
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova
25%No goal after half-time50%
PalermoCalcio Padova

Palermo - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Calcio Padova - second-half results

50% W0% D50% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Palermo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.501.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal75%75%
2 goals25%75%
3 goals0%25%
Clean sheet100%25%
No goal25%25%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 75% leading - 25% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Calcio Padova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.251.50
Goals scored / game0.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.50.5
Average goals per game1.01.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals25%0%
3 goals25%0%
Clean sheet75%50%
No goal50%50%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 25% leading - 50% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 50% won - 0% draw - 50% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Palermo
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Calcio Padova
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
63%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-60%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Palermo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.95
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Calcio Padova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

PalermoLigaCalcio Padova
Average goals per game 3.002.60 2.00
Both teams scored 75%60% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%50% 25%
Clean sheets 25%20% 50%
Goal before half-time 75%63% 50%
Goal after half-time 75%88% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.20
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Palermo's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Calcio Padova. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

When do Palermo and Calcio Padova play?

Palermo face Calcio Padova on September 19, 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Palermo and Calcio Padova?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Palermo won 2, Calcio Padova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

Palermo score 2.00 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Palermo's matches and 50% of Calcio Padova's.

What form are Palermo and Calcio Padova in?

Over the last 5 games Palermo have a 3-1-0 record (2.50 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Palermo vs Calcio Padova?

The statistical background for Palermo vs Calcio Padova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.