Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Campeón del SigloData current as of August 30, 2026

Peñarol vs Nacional: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Peñarol vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Peñarol plays Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for August 30, 2026. Venue: Estadio Campeón del Siglo.

Recent form

Peñarol has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Nacional has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Peñarol scores 1.68 goals per game and allows 0.84. Nacional scores 1.44 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.36 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's games and 56% of Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 64%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Peñarol has the higher season xG average, 1.71 to 1.48 per game. Peñarol takes 14.6 shots per game, while Nacional takes 11.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Peñarol leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.96 goals per game after halftime. Nacional leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.84 after halftime.

When the teams score

Peñarol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). For Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.36 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 6 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.98)
(3.25)
(3.60)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.68Goals scored / game1.44
PeñarolNacional
0.84Goals allowed / game1.32
PeñarolNacional
52%Average possession54%
PeñarolNacional
5.32Shots on target / game4.32
PeñarolNacional

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.64Shots per game11.68
PeñarolNacional
5.32Shots on target4.32
PeñarolNacional
11.5%Shot conversion12.3%
PeñarolNacional
52%Possession54%
PeñarolNacional
1.71xG for1.48
PeñarolNacional
1.23xG against1.04
PeñarolNacional

Shooting quality

Peñarol: AttackingNacional: Balanced
PeñarolNacional
Accuracy (shots on target)36%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Peñarol is 117% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Peñarol · 1.2 pts / game - Nacional

Peñarol
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
60% W20% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-5-5
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Nacional
LWLLW
Season result split
48% W8% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-11
1.52 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Peñarol is 17% better for: goals scored per game.

1.68 goals / game - Peñarol · 1.44 goals / game - Nacional

Peñarol is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.84 goals / game - Peñarol · 1.32 goals / game - Nacional

Peñarol scoring profile: very strong

Peñarol scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).

Nacional scoring profile: strong

Nacional scores in 80% of games (20 of 25 meczów), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).

42Goals scored (season)36
PeñarolNacional
21Goals conceded (season)33
PeñarolNacional
2.52Average goals per game2.76
PeñarolNacional
13Goals scored (last 5)5
PeñarolNacional
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
PeñarolNacional

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal80%
PeñarolNacional
52%2 goals44%
PeñarolNacional
24%3 goals16%
PeñarolNacional
4%4 goals4%
PeñarolNacional

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal72%
PeñarolNacional
20%2 goals40%
PeñarolNacional
0%3 goals16%
PeñarolNacional
0%4 goals4%
PeñarolNacional

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
PeñarolNacional
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PeñarolNacional
20%Scored in both halves24%
PeñarolNacional

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
PeñarolNacional
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
PeñarolNacional
40%BTTS - last 560%
PeñarolNacional

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
PeñarolNacional
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
PeñarolNacional
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
PeñarolNacional

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
PeñarolNacional
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
PeñarolNacional
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
PeñarolNacional

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Peñarol is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / game - Peñarol · 1.28 pts / game - Nacional

Peñarol - half-time state
40% leading32% draw28% trailing
Nacional - half-time state
24% leading56% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per game (1st half)1.28
PeñarolNacional
0.72Goals scored (1st half)0.6
PeñarolNacional
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
PeñarolNacional
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.16
PeñarolNacional
60%Clean sheet before half-time60%
PeñarolNacional
60%No goal before half-time56%
PeñarolNacional

After half-time (2nd half)

1.92Points per game (2nd half)1.44
PeñarolNacional
0.96Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
PeñarolNacional
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
PeñarolNacional
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.6
PeñarolNacional
64%Clean sheet after half-time48%
PeñarolNacional
36%No goal after half-time40%
PeñarolNacional

Peñarol - second-half results

56% W24% R20% P
38
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
48
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Nacional - second-half results

40% W24% R36% P
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.28
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Peñarol - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.202.60
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.2
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+5+6
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Nacional - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.2
Average goals per game0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Peñarol
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
6
1
16-30
7
7
31-45
7
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
13
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Nacional
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
5
6
16-30
7
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
7
1
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.64
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Peñarol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

PeñarolLigaNacional
Average goals per game 2.522.36 2.76
Both teams scored 52%50% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%44% 64%
Clean sheets 36%29% 28%
Goal before half-time 68%66% 60%
Goal after half-time 80%72% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.36
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / game
1.04
Away goals / game
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Peñarol's perspective: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Nacional. Games average 1.83 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Nacional
0 : 1
Peñarol
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 0
CA Peñarol
CA Peñarol
2 : 2
Club Nacional de Football
CA Peñarol
3 : 0
Club Nacional de Football
Club Nacional de Football
0 : 0
CA Peñarol
Club Nacional de Football
1 : 1
CA Peñarol

FAQ

When do Peñarol and Nacional play?

Peñarol face Nacional on August 30, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Campeón del Siglo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Peñarol and Nacional?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 2, Nacional won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.83 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Peñarol vs Nacional?

Peñarol score 1.68 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.36 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Peñarol's matches and 56% of Nacional's.

What form are Peñarol and Nacional in?

Over the last 5 games Peñarol have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Nacional 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Peñarol vs Nacional?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Peñarol vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.