Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: match statistics
Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Raith Rovers played against Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The game was played on August 22, 2026. Venue: Stark's Park. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Raith Rovers has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Ayr United has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Raith Rovers scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ayr United scores 1.50 and allows 0.50. Games in this league average 1.64 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Raith Rovers's games and 50% of Ayr United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 0%, compared with league averages of 36% for BTTS and 9% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Raith Rovers has the higher season xG average, 1.72 to 1.00 per game. Raith Rovers takes 13.0 shots per game, while Ayr United takes 6.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Raith Rovers leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Ayr United leads at halftime in 50% and scores 0.50 after halftime.
When the teams score
Raith Rovers's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For Ayr United, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 1.64 goals. Both teams score in 36% of games, and 9% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Raith Rovers have a clear advantage in chance creation at home: their average xG stands at 2.21, while they allow opponents just 0.80 xG. By contrast, Ayr United generate only 0.75 xG away from home. The hosts average 18 shots and 9 shots on target per match, comfortably outperforming Ayr’s 4 attempts and 2 shots on target. Ayr have, however, shown better overall form across their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and winning 3 games, compared with Raith’s 5 goals and 2 victories. Both teams have drawn 100% of their home and away matches played so far, while each concedes an average of 1 goal, making a draw a significant scenario. Nevertheless, the superior quality of chances created by Raith at home gives the hosts a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Raith Rovers score an average of 2.0 goals at home and have yet to concede in the current data, keeping a clean sheet in 100% of their matches. Ayr United score only 1.0 goal away from home, create just 0.75 xG on average, and register 2 shots on target per match, limiting their chances of breaking down the hosts’ defense. However, the last five matches give both teams a BTTS rate of 60%, while Ayr scored 2.2 goals per game during this period, so an away goal remains a realistic scenario. Nevertheless, only 30% of matches in the league have seen both teams score, with an average of 1.6 goals per match, and Raith’s solid defense, with an xG against of 0.95, slightly favors BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The 2.15-goal projection is based on Raith Rovers’ advantage in chance creation: the hosts average 1.26 xG, while Ayr United allow 1.42 xG. However, the visitors have limited offensive potential, averaging just 0.75 xG and 2 shots on target per game, while Raith’s defense concedes an average of 1.03 xG. In their last five matches, games featuring at least three goals accounted for only 20% of Raith’s matches and 40% of Ayr’s, with the league average standing at just 1.6 goals. In addition, both teams have recorded 100% of their matches under 3.5 goals in the available season data, making Under 3.5 the strongest option despite Ayr’s strong recent finishing, with the visitors averaging 2.2 goals in their last five games.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Raith Rovers hold a clear edge in the home data: they average 2.0 goals scored, concede none, and have won 100% of their matches so far, while Ayr United have drawn 100% of their away games. The hosts led at the break in every home match, whereas the visitors went into half-time level in each of their away fixtures, which still favors the scenario of Raith taking an early lead. The quality gap is further underlined by Raith’s xG of 1.26 compared with Ayr’s 0.75, as well as an average of 5 shots on target for Raith against just 2 for the visitors. Although Ayr have averaged 2.2 goals per game and won 60% of their last five matches, Raith have conceded just 0.8 goals on average, while their home advantage and perfect record of clean sheets make 1/1 the most likely scenario. In addition, the hosts have averaged 1.0 goal after half-time, whereas Ayr have failed to score after the break in their available away sample, supporting the likelihood of Raith maintaining their lead until the final whistle.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Raith Rovers | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 58% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Raith Rovers · 0.5 goals / game - Ayr United
Raith Rovers scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
Ayr United scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Raith Rovers | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 1.64 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 9% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Raith Rovers's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Ayr United. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 25% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Raith Rovers 2:0 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Raith Rovers and Ayr United?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Raith Rovers won 2, Ayr United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
Raith Rovers score 1.50 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.50. The Championship average is 1.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 9% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Raith Rovers's matches and 50% of Ayr United's.
What form are Raith Rovers and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Raith Rovers have a 1-1-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Ayr United 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.