Latvia - VirsligaSporta komplekss ĶeizarmežsData current as of October 15, 2026

Riga vs Super Nova: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Riga vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Riga plays Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs.

Recent form

Riga has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Super Nova has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Riga scores 2.75 goals per game and allows 0.94. Super Nova scores 1.00 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 56% of Riga's games and 55% of Super Nova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 48%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Riga has the higher season xG average, 1.99 to 1.25 per game. Riga takes 16.8 shots per game, while Super Nova takes 10.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Riga leads at halftime in 66% of its games and scores 1.38 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova leads at halftime in 16% and scores 0.52 after halftime.

When the teams score

Riga's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (20 goals). For Super Nova, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Virsliga games average 2.87 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 7 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.08)
(8.50)
(17.00)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.75Goals scored / game1
RigaSuper Nova
0.94Goals allowed / game1.32
RigaSuper Nova
63%Average possession46%
RigaSuper Nova
6.31Shots on target / game3.74
RigaSuper Nova

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.84Shots per game9.97
RigaSuper Nova
6.31Shots on target3.74
RigaSuper Nova
16.3%Shot conversion10%
RigaSuper Nova
63%Possession46%
RigaSuper Nova
1.99xG for1.25
RigaSuper Nova
0.95xG against1.68
RigaSuper Nova

Shooting quality

Riga: DominantSuper Nova: Balanced
RigaSuper Nova
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Riga is 22% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Riga · 1.8 pts / game - Super Nova

Riga
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
72% W22% D6% L
Season (W-D-L)
23-7-2
2.38 pts / game · goal difference +58
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-4-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Super Nova
WWLLW
Season result split
35% W16% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-5-15
1.23 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
7-2-6
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Riga is 175% better for: goals scored per game.

2.75 goals / game - Riga · 1 goals / game - Super Nova

Riga is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.94 goals / game - Riga · 1.32 goals / game - Super Nova

Riga scoring profile: very strong

Riga scores in 97% of games (31 of 32 games), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 games).

Super Nova scoring profile: strong

Super Nova scores in 74% of games (23 of 31 games), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 games).

88Goals scored (season)31
RigaSuper Nova
30Goals conceded (season)41
RigaSuper Nova
3.69Average goals per game2.32
RigaSuper Nova
7Goals scored (last 5)4
RigaSuper Nova
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
RigaSuper Nova

How often they score at least...

97%1 goal74%
RigaSuper Nova
81%2 goals23%
RigaSuper Nova
56%3 goals3%
RigaSuper Nova
28%4 goals0%
RigaSuper Nova

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal74%
RigaSuper Nova
25%2 goals39%
RigaSuper Nova
13%3 goals10%
RigaSuper Nova
0%4 goals6%
RigaSuper Nova

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time26%
RigaSuper Nova
9%BTTS in both halves0%
RigaSuper Nova
56%Scored in both halves10%
RigaSuper Nova

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
RigaSuper Nova
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
RigaSuper Nova
40%BTTS - last 520%
RigaSuper Nova

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
RigaSuper Nova
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
RigaSuper Nova
31%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
RigaSuper Nova

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
RigaSuper Nova
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
RigaSuper Nova
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
RigaSuper Nova

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Riga is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.16 pts / game - Riga · 1.03 pts / game - Super Nova

Riga - half-time state
66% leading19% draw16% trailing
Super Nova - half-time state
16% leading55% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.16Points per game (1st half)1.03
RigaSuper Nova
1.38Goals scored (1st half)0.48
RigaSuper Nova
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
RigaSuper Nova
1.81Average goals (1st half)1.19
RigaSuper Nova
66%Clean sheet before half-time55%
RigaSuper Nova
25%No goal before half-time61%
RigaSuper Nova

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per game (2nd half)1.35
RigaSuper Nova
1.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
RigaSuper Nova
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.61
RigaSuper Nova
1.88Average goals (2nd half)1.13
RigaSuper Nova
66%Clean sheet after half-time55%
RigaSuper Nova
22%No goal after half-time55%
RigaSuper Nova

Riga - second-half results

56% W31% D13% L
69
Half-time points
44
Half-time goals
+30
Goal difference (1st half)
64
Second-half points
+28
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.16
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at halftime in 66% of games and wins 72%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Super Nova - second-half results

39% W19% D42% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.03
PPG before half-time
Lead holding219%

Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Riga - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game0.60.8
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Super Nova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.00
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.2
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Riga
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
16
5
16-30
19
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
13
4
61-75
20
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +15 - wins late phases.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
5
7
16-30
6
13
31-45
5
7
46-60
1
3
61-75
10
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
72%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Riga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.76
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
172%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
79%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.57
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

RigaLigaSuper Nova
Average goals per game▲ 3.692.87▼ 2.32
Both teams scored• 56%55%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%53%▼ 48%
Clean sheets▲ 44%25%• 26%
Goal before half-time▲ 84%74%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time• 81%81%▲ 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.27
Away goals / game
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Riga's perspective: 7 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Super Nova. Games average 3.86 goals, and both teams scored in 43% of them.

Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga
Riga
3 : 0
Super Nova
Super Nova
1 : 4
Riga
SK Super Nova
2 : 6
Riga FC
Riga FC
2 : 0
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 5
Riga FC
Riga FC
2 : 0
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Riga and Super Nova play?

Riga face Super Nova on October 18, 2026 in Virsliga at Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Riga and Super Nova?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Riga won 7, Super Nova won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Riga vs Super Nova?

Riga score 2.75 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.00. The Virsliga average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Riga's matches and 55% of Super Nova's.

What form are Riga and Super Nova in?

Over the last 5 games Riga have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Super Nova 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Riga vs Super Nova?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Riga vs Super Nova: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.