Latvia - VirsligaData current as of September 06, 2026

Super Nova vs Tukums: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Super Nova vs Tukums: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Super Nova plays Tukums in Virsliga (Latvia). The game is scheduled for September 10, 2026.

Recent form

Super Nova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Tukums has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

Super Nova scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 1.41. Tukums scores 1.48 and allows 2.03. Games in this league average 2.99 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 59% of Super Nova's games and 83% of Tukums's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 76%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Tukums has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.19 per game. Super Nova takes 9.3 shots per game, while Tukums takes 11.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Super Nova leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Tukums leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.76 after halftime.

When the teams score

Super Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Tukums, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Virsliga games average 2.99 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 7 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.04Goals scored / game1.48
Super NovaTukums
1.41Goals allowed / game2.03
Super NovaTukums
44%Average possession42%
Super NovaTukums
3.59Shots on target / game4.59
Super NovaTukums

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.26Shots per game11.41
Super NovaTukums
3.59Shots on target4.59
Super NovaTukums
11.2%Shot conversion13%
Super NovaTukums
44%Possession42%
Super NovaTukums
1.19xG for1.38
Super NovaTukums
1.7xG against1.76
Super NovaTukums

Shooting quality

Super Nova: BalancedTukums: Counter-attacking
Super NovaTukums
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Super Nova is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Super Nova · 1.2 pts / game - Tukums

Super Nova
WLDDW
Season result split
33% W19% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-13
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-8
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Tukums
WLLLW
Season result split
17% W28% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-8-16
0.79 pts / game · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-10
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tukums is 42% better for: goals scored per game.

1.04 goals / game - Super Nova · 1.48 goals / game - Tukums

Super Nova is 44% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.41 goals / game - Super Nova · 2.03 goals / game - Tukums

Super Nova scoring profile: very strong

Super Nova scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 3% (1 of 29 meczów).

Tukums scoring profile: very strong

Tukums scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 meczów), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 meczów).

28Goals scored (season)43
Super NovaTukums
38Goals conceded (season)59
Super NovaTukums
2.44Average goals per game3.52
Super NovaTukums
5Goals scored (last 5)5
Super NovaTukums
3Goals conceded (last 5)11
Super NovaTukums

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal86%
Super NovaTukums
22%2 goals31%
Super NovaTukums
4%3 goals14%
Super NovaTukums
0%4 goals7%
Super NovaTukums

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal97%
Super NovaTukums
44%2 goals62%
Super NovaTukums
11%3 goals38%
Super NovaTukums
7%4 goals7%
Super NovaTukums

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

26%BTTS at half-time38%
Super NovaTukums
0%BTTS in both halves7%
Super NovaTukums
7%Scored in both halves24%
Super NovaTukums

BTTS and goal count

48%Min. 3 goals and BTTS66%
Super NovaTukums
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Super NovaTukums
40%BTTS - last 560%
Super NovaTukums

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Super NovaTukums
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time59%
Super NovaTukums
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Super NovaTukums

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time90%
Super NovaTukums
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
Super NovaTukums
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Super NovaTukums

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Super Nova is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.07 pts / game - Super Nova · 0.97 pts / game - Tukums

Super Nova - half-time state
19% leading52% draw30% trailing
Tukums - half-time state
21% leading34% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.07Points per game (1st half)0.97
Super NovaTukums
0.52Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Super NovaTukums
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)1
Super NovaTukums
1.26Average goals (1st half)1.72
Super NovaTukums
56%Clean sheet before half-time28%
Super NovaTukums
59%No goal before half-time45%
Super NovaTukums

After half-time (2nd half)

1.3Points per game (2nd half)1.14
Super NovaTukums
0.52Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Super NovaTukums
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.03
Super NovaTukums
1.19Average goals (2nd half)1.79
Super NovaTukums
52%Clean sheet after half-time31%
Super NovaTukums
56%No goal after half-time45%
Super NovaTukums

Super Nova - second-half results

37% W19% R44% P
29
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tukums - second-half results

28% W31% R41% P
28
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 17%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime+0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Super Nova - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Tukums - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.20
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game0.81.4
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Super Nova
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
6
16-30
6
12
31-45
5
7
46-60
1
3
61-75
8
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Tukums
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
12
16-30
11
10
31-45
4
9
46-60
4
13
61-75
14
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.5 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Super Nova

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Tukums

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).

Teams vs league

Super NovaLigaTukums
Average goals per game 2.442.99 3.52
Both teams scored 59%55% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 52%56% 76%
Clean sheets 26%24% 3%
Goal before half-time 59%76% 90%
Goal after half-time 85%83% 90%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.99
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Super Nova's perspective: 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Tukums. Games average 2.57 goals, and both teams scored in 86% of them.

Tukums
1 : 2
Super Nova
Super Nova
1 : 1
Tukums
Tukums
1 : 2
Super Nova
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 1
SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1 : 0
FK Tukums 2000
SK Super Nova
1 : 1
FK Tukums 2000
FK Tukums 2000
2 : 2
SK Super Nova

FAQ

When do Super Nova and Tukums play?

Super Nova face Tukums on September 10, 2026 in Virsliga. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Super Nova and Tukums?

In the last 7 head-to-head matches Super Nova won 3, Tukums won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.57 goals, with both teams scoring in 86% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Super Nova vs Tukums?

Super Nova score 1.04 goals per game on average and Tukums 1.48. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Super Nova's matches and 83% of Tukums's.

What form are Super Nova and Tukums in?

Over the last 5 games Super Nova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Tukums 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Super Nova vs Tukums?

The statistical background for Super Nova vs Tukums — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.