Croatia - Prva HNLStadion Anđelko HerjavecData current as of September 03, 2026

Varaždin vs Istra 1961: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Varaždin vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Varaždin plays Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game is scheduled for September 4, 2026. Venue: Stadion Anđelko Herjavec.

Recent form

Varaždin has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.40 points per game. Istra 1961 has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Varaždin scores 2.20 goals per game and allows 1.00. Istra 1961 scores 2.20 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's games and 80% of Istra 1961's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 100%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Istra 1961 has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.34 per game. Varaždin takes 12.0 shots per game, while Istra 1961 takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Varaždin leads at halftime in 60% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Istra 1961 leads at halftime in 40% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Varaždin's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Istra 1961, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.2Goals scored / game2.2
VaraždinIstra 1961
1Goals allowed / game2
VaraždinIstra 1961
45%Average possession45%
VaraždinIstra 1961
3.8Shots on target / game4.6
VaraždinIstra 1961

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game13.4
VaraždinIstra 1961
3.8Shots on target4.6
VaraždinIstra 1961
18.3%Shot conversion16.4%
VaraždinIstra 1961
45%Possession45%
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.34xG for1.55
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.64xG against1.68
VaraždinIstra 1961

Shooting quality

Varaždin: Counter-attackingIstra 1961: Counter-attacking
VaraždinIstra 1961
Accuracy (shots on target)32%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.580.48

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Varaždin is 140% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / game - Varaždin · 1 pts / game - Istra 1961

Varaždin
WWWLW
Season result split
80% W0% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Istra 1961
LDWLD
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varaždin is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Varaždin · 2 goals / game - Istra 1961

Varaždin scoring profile: very strong

Varaždin scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).

Istra 1961 scoring profile: very strong

Istra 1961 scores in 100% of games (5 of 5 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 meczów).

11Goals scored (season)11
VaraždinIstra 1961
5Goals conceded (season)10
VaraždinIstra 1961
3.2Average goals per game4.2
VaraždinIstra 1961
11Goals scored (last 5)11
VaraždinIstra 1961
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
VaraždinIstra 1961

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
VaraždinIstra 1961
80%2 goals100%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%3 goals20%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%4 goals0%
VaraždinIstra 1961

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%2 goals80%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%3 goals40%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%4 goals0%
VaraždinIstra 1961

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time60%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%BTTS in both halves40%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%Scored in both halves60%
VaraždinIstra 1961

BTTS and goal count

60%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
VaraždinIstra 1961
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
VaraždinIstra 1961
60%BTTS - last 580%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
VaraždinIstra 1961
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time100%
VaraždinIstra 1961
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
VaraždinIstra 1961

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
VaraždinIstra 1961
80%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
VaraždinIstra 1961
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varaždin is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.2 pts / game - Varaždin · 1.4 pts / game - Istra 1961

Varaždin - half-time state
60% leading40% draw0% trailing
Istra 1961 - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.2Points per game (1st half)1.4
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.2Goals scored (1st half)1.2
VaraždinIstra 1961
0Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
VaraždinIstra 1961
1.2Average goals (1st half)2.4
VaraždinIstra 1961
100%Clean sheet before half-time20%
VaraždinIstra 1961
40%No goal before half-time20%
VaraždinIstra 1961

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per game (2nd half)1.6
VaraždinIstra 1961
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
VaraždinIstra 1961
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
VaraždinIstra 1961
2Average goals (2nd half)1.8
VaraždinIstra 1961
40%Clean sheet after half-time20%
VaraždinIstra 1961
40%No goal after half-time20%
VaraždinIstra 1961

Varaždin - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
11
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 80%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Istra 1961 - second-half results

40% W40% R20% P
7
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 20%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Varaždin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.60
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.0
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+60
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6
Istra 1961 - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.21.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game2.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.70
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-32%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.86
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
188%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

VaraždinLigaIstra 1961
Average goals per game 3.203.29 4.20
Both teams scored 60%50% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%67% 100%
Clean sheets 40%27% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%83% 100%
Goal after half-time 80%83% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.29
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+82%
Home attack advantage
+45%
Home defensive advantage
+46%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Varaždin's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 3 losses against Istra 1961. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

When do Varaždin and Istra 1961 play?

Varaždin face Istra 1961 on September 4, 2026 in Prva HNL at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Istra 1961?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 1, Istra 1961 won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Istra 1961?

Varaždin score 2.20 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 2.20. The Prva HNL average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's matches and 80% of Istra 1961's.

What form are Varaždin and Istra 1961 in?

Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Istra 1961 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Istra 1961?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.