Nacional vs Peñarol: match stats
Ang Nacional ay nagpapakita ng solid form with three wins sa last five matches at impressive unbeaten run this season. Pero ang kanilang home stats ay nagpapakita ng problema sa pag-secure ng wins – 100% draws sa home games, despite high possession (66%). Ang Peñarol ay may better scoring efficiency (6 goals sa 3 matches), pero grabe ang struggles nila sa away matches with 100% losses at average na 2 goals conceded per game. Ang xG values ay nagpapakita ng advantage para sa Nacional (1.75 vs 1.43), pero ang kanilang inability na i-convert ang domination into home wins plus ang poor away form ni Peñarol ay nag-suggest na ang most likely scenario ay draw. Both teams may issues sa clean sheets, kaya pwedeng mag-resulta sa exciting, closely-fought match.
Nacional vs Peñarol: form, goals at mahahalagang stats
Mahahalagang detalye ng match
Nacional vs Peñarol sa Primera División (Uruguay). Naka-schedule ang match sa 1 March 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Nacional: 2-1-2 sa last five matches at 1.40 points per match. Peñarol: 3-1-1 at 2.00 points per match.
Goal statistics
Nacional scores 1.52 at concedes 1.33 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.52 at concedes 0.90. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nacional 57%, Peñarol 52%. Over 2.5: Nacional 67%, Peñarol 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots at playing style
Peñarol ang may mas mataas na xG per match: 1.71 vs 1.50. Nacional averages 11.9 shots per match, habang Peñarol ay 14.8.
First at second half
Nacional leads at half-time sa 24% ng matches at scores 0.86 goals after the break. Peñarol: 38% at 0.90.
Goals by minute
Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (12 goals). Historical goal distribution ito, hindi prediction ng exact goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52% at Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Sa 5 head-to-head matches, ang record ay 1-3-1. Average goals: 2.00, BTTS: 40%.
Match description
Ang Nacional ay nagpapakita ng solid form with three wins sa last five matches at impressive unbeaten run this season. Pero ang kanilang home stats ay nagpapakita ng problema sa pag-secure ng wins – 100% draws sa home games, despite high possession (66%). Ang Peñarol ay may better scoring efficiency (6 goals sa 3 matches), pero grabe ang struggles nila sa away matches with 100% losses at average na 2 goals conceded per game. Ang xG values ay nagpapakita ng advantage para sa Nacional (1.75 vs 1.43), pero ang kanilang inability na i-convert ang domination into home wins plus ang poor away form ni Peñarol ay nag-suggest na ang most likely scenario ay draw. Both teams may issues sa clean sheets, kaya pwedeng mag-resulta sa exciting, closely-fought match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nacional | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nacional · 2 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— paano nag-i-score at nagko-concede ang dalawang teams?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Nacional · 0.9 goals / match - Peñarol
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Peñarol scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— gaano kadalas nakaka-score ang parehong teams?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— gaano kadalas lumalagpas sa goal lines ang kanilang matches?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Nacional
Over / Under — Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— saang half mas madalas silang maka-score?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Nacional · 1.43 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Karagdagang team indicators— ano ang ipinapakita ng xG, efficiency at form?
Comparison ng chance quality, results at trends mula sa mga natapos na matches ngayong season.
Match profile
Nacional
Peñarol
* Ang estimated goals, goal split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk at goal range ay galing sa public season averages at frequencies ng dalawang teams. Statistical match profile ito, hindi private model prediction o betting pick.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Nacional | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.41 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Nacional 1 - 3 - 1 Peñarol. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 40% mga match.
Mga madalas itanong
Ano ang result ng Nacional vs Peñarol?
Natapos ang Primera División match sa score na Nacional 0:1 Peñarol. Nasa page na ito ang match statistics, half-by-half data at head-to-head record.
Ano ang head-to-head record ng Nacional at Peñarol?
Sa huling 5 head-to-head matches, nanalo ang Nacional ng 1, ang Peñarol ng 1, at 3 ang draws. Average goals: 2.00; BTTS: 40%.
Ano ang ipinapakita ng goal statistics bago ang Nacional vs Peñarol?
Nacional scores 1.52 goals per match at Peñarol 1.52. Ang Primera División average ay 2.41 goals, may Over 2.5 sa 46% ng matches. BTTS: Nacional 57%, Peñarol 52%.
Ano ang current form ng Nacional at Peñarol?
Sa last 5 matches, ang Nacional ay 2-1-2 (1.40 points per match), habang ang Peñarol ay 3-1-1 (2.00 points per match).
Saan makikita ang betting pick at full analysis ng Nacional vs Peñarol?
Nasa page na ito ang statistical context: form, H2H, goals, BTTS at Over/Under. Makikita sa NoFluffPicks app ang betting pick, value bet at full reasoning.