9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics
9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
9 de Octubre played Gualaceo SC in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 11 July 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
9 de Octubre: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Gualaceo SC: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
9 de Octubre scores 1.27 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Gualaceo SC scores 0.81 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.96 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: 9 de Octubre 40%, Gualaceo SC 31%. Over 2.5: 9 de Octubre 33%, Gualaceo SC 13%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
9 de Octubre has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.21. 9 de Octubre: 9.8 shots per match, Gualaceo SC: 7.3.
Match halves
9 de Octubre: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67. Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
9 de Octubre: 76-90+ (6 goals). Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.96 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
9 de Octubre has a clear home advantage: they average 2.0 goals per game, 12.38 shots (4.75 on target) and a 16% conversion rate, while Gualaceo on the road records only 0.71 goals, 8.5 shots and an 8% conversion. The quality of chances also favors the hosts — home xG is 1.48 per game versus 1.15 xG for Gualaceo, and hosts have conceded only 0.87 xG at home compared to 1.19 xG conceded by the visitors away. Nominal goals conceded are similar (1.13 vs 1.14), but 9 de Octubre has 38% clean sheets and 0% of home games without scoring, whereas Gualaceo have 14% clean sheets and 43% of away matches without a goal. Recent form of the last five matches, however, favors the visitors — Gualaceo have won 4 of 5 and average 2.4 points per game, while 9 de Octubre have 1 win and 4 draws (1.4 PPG) — this represents a risk factor for the hosts. Considering the home advantage in chance creation and conversion (xG 1.48 vs 1.15, efficiency 16% vs 8%), strong home metrics (75% home wins and a +7 goal differential) and greater attacking consistency at home (0% FTS), I favor a 9 de Octubre victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The edge points toward Both Teams To Score being unlikely: 9 de Octubre concedes on average 0.25 goals per home match and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of home fixtures, while their seasonal BTTS rate at home is only 13%. Gualaceo has a seasonal BTTS of 57% with averages of 0.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded, but in the visitors’ last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 20% and they conceded on average 0.4 goals, which lowers the BTTS probability for this meeting. xG indicates moderate goal production: home xG 1.28 vs away xG 1.15, the league averages 2.0 goals per match and has a high clean sheet rate of 74%, favoring single-scorer games. Although the visitors register more shots on target (4.0 vs 3.14), the visitors’ lower efficiency (8% conversion vs hosts’ 14%) and the historical defensive resilience of the home side make the "No" (No Goal / clean sheet expected) selection the stronger signal (approximately 75% vs 25%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals estimate is 1.24 for 9 de Octubre and 1.13 for Gualaceo (total 2.37); that total yields roughly a 69% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) in a Poisson model. However, 9 de Octubre concede only 0.25 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 75% of home matches, with their season games never exceeding 2.5 goals (100% under 2.5), which reduces the likelihood of Over 2.5. Gualaceo, on the other hand, have 71% of away matches with at least 1.5 goals and average 0.71 goals scored away, and their last 5 games show xG_for 1.17, so the visitors are a real source of additional goals. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommendation: back Over at 1.5), while Over 2.5 is assessed at about a 42% chance and Over 3.5 at about a 22% chance due to the hosts' defensive form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
9 de Octubre holds a clear advantage: the hosts won 63% of their matches this season and average 2.13 points per game, and they led at the break in 50% of fixtures, scoring an average of 0.63 goals and conceding only 0.13 by halftime. Their xG is 1.28 versus Gualaceo’s 1.15, with a shot conversion rate of 14% vs 8% and an average of 3.14 shots on target, indicating greater efficiency in front of goal. Gualaceo posts weaker season metrics (0.86 points per game and only 14% away wins), although in short-term form they have won 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and in that run frequently led at the break (60%). Additionally, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches (88% clean sheets at half-time) and concede just 0.25 goals per game, so the strongest signal is the hosts leading at the break and winning after full-time (HT/FT 1/1). The probability distribution also accounts for realistic but smaller chances of a draw (around 25% overall) and an away win (around 12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| 9 de Octubre | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gualaceo SC is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - 9 de Octubre · 1.8 pts / match - Gualaceo SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
9 de Octubre is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - 9 de Octubre · 0.81 goals / match - Gualaceo SC
9 de Octubre scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Gualaceo SC scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while 9 de Octubre keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - 9 de Octubre
Over / Under - Gualaceo SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
9 de Octubre - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gualaceo SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
9 de Octubre
Gualaceo SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| 9 de Octubre | Liga | Gualaceo SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 1.96 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 41% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 36% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): 9 de Octubre 3 - 0 - 2 Gualaceo SC. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished 9 de Octubre 0:0 Gualaceo SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between 9 de Octubre and Gualaceo SC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches 9 de Octubre won 3, Gualaceo SC won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
9 de Octubre score 1.27 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 0.81. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of 9 de Octubre's matches and 31% of Gualaceo SC's.
What form are 9 de Octubre and Gualaceo SC in?
Over the last 5 games 9 de Octubre have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for 9 de Octubre vs Gualaceo SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.