Scotland - PremiershipPittodrie StadiumData current as of 14 October 2026

Aberdeen vs St. Mirren: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aberdeen vs St. Mirren: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aberdeen play St. Mirren in Premiership (Scotland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Pittodrie Stadium.

Current form

Aberdeen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. St. Mirren: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aberdeen scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. St. Mirren scores 1.00 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.56 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aberdeen 25%, St. Mirren 25%. Over 2.5: Aberdeen 38%, St. Mirren 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

St. Mirren has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.23. Aberdeen: 11.4 shots per match, St. Mirren: 13.5.

Match halves

Aberdeen: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63. St. Mirren: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

Aberdeen: 76-90+ (4 goals). St. Mirren: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premiership: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.75, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.83)
(3.68)
(3.97)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.88Goals scored / match1
AberdeenSt. Mirren
1.13Goals conceded / match1.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren
48%Average possession49%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
2.88Shots on target / match3.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.38Shots per match13.5
AberdeenSt. Mirren
2.88Shots on target3.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren
7.7%Shot conversion7.4%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
48%Possession49%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
1.23xG for1.38
AberdeenSt. Mirren
1.7xG against1.77
AberdeenSt. Mirren

Shooting quality

Aberdeen: BalancedSt. Mirren: Balanced
AberdeenSt. Mirren
Accuracy (shots on target)25%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Aberdeen is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Aberdeen · 0.6 pts / match - St. Mirren

Aberdeen
LDWDL
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-4
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
WLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
St. Mirren
WLLLL
Season result split
38% W13% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-4
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 away
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St. Mirren is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1 goals / match - St. Mirren

Aberdeen is 55% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Aberdeen · 1.75 goals / match - St. Mirren

Aberdeen scoring profile: mixed

Aberdeen scores in 38% of matches (3 of 8 matches), while St. Mirren keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

St. Mirren scoring profile: strong

St. Mirren scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Aberdeen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

7Goals scored (season)8
AberdeenSt. Mirren
9Goals conceded (season)14
AberdeenSt. Mirren
2Average goals in match2.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren
5Goals scored (last 5)2
AberdeenSt. Mirren
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
AberdeenSt. Mirren

How often they score at least...

38%1 goal63%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
25%2 goals25%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%3 goals13%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%4 goals0%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal63%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
25%2 goals50%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%3 goals38%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0%4 goals13%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time13%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%Scored in both halves13%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

BTTS and goal count

13%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
20%BTTS - last 520%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St. Mirren is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Aberdeen · 1.75 pts / match - St. Mirren

Aberdeen - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing
St. Mirren - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.75
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0.75Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
AberdeenSt. Mirren
1Average goals (1st half)1.63
AberdeenSt. Mirren
50%Clean sheet before half-time63%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
75%No goal before half-time50%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
AberdeenSt. Mirren
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
AberdeenSt. Mirren
1Average goals (2nd half)1.13
AberdeenSt. Mirren
63%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AberdeenSt. Mirren
75%No goal after half-time75%
AberdeenSt. Mirren

Aberdeen - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

St. Mirren - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Aberdeen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
St. Mirren - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-3-6
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aberdeen
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

St. Mirren
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
25%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+16%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aberdeen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
57% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
57%

St. Mirren

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

AberdeenLigaSt. Mirren
Average goals in match▼ 2.002.56▲ 2.75
Both teams scored▼ 25%50%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%52%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 25%27%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▼ 75%81%▼ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%75%• 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.56
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.31
Away goals / match
+-5%
Home attack advantage
+-5%
Home defence advantage
+-2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Aberdeen 1 - 1 - 2 St. Mirren. Average goals 2.75, both teams scored in 25% matches.

FAQ

When do Aberdeen and St. Mirren play?

Aberdeen face St. Mirren on 17 October 2026 in Premiership at Pittodrie Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aberdeen and St. Mirren?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Aberdeen won 1, St. Mirren won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

Aberdeen score 0.88 goals per game on average and St. Mirren 1.00. The Premiership average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Aberdeen's matches and 25% of St. Mirren's.

What form are Aberdeen and St. Mirren in?

Over the last 5 games Aberdeen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and St. Mirren 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren?

The statistical background for Aberdeen vs St. Mirren — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.