Abha vs Al Jubail: match statistics
Abha holds a decisive dominance in this fixture, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 19 wins this season and a +16 goal difference at home. The hosts win 69% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.15 goals per game, while suffering defeat only 8% of the time. Al Jubail is positioned last, in 18th place, with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 92% losses, and a -20 goal difference. The visitors have kept zero clean sheets on the road, conceding an average of 2.42 goals, with their 12-match away run showing only defeats. Abha's form (3 wins, 2 draws in the last 5 matches) coupled with their advantage in possession (54% vs 46%) and xG (1.57 vs 0.9) further confirms their clear superiority. The only factor potentially limiting the margin of victory for the hosts is their 31% clean sheet rate, which offers a slim chance for a draw.
Abha vs Al Jubail: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abha played Al Jubail in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Abha: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Al Jubail: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abha scores 2.12 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Al Jubail scores 0.88 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abha 64%, Al Jubail 48%. Over 2.5: Abha 60%, Al Jubail 56%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Abha has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.07. Abha: 13.0 shots per match, Al Jubail: 8.4.
Match halves
Abha: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.24. Al Jubail: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Abha: 46-60 (13 goals). Al Jubail: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Abha holds a decisive dominance in this fixture, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 19 wins this season and a +16 goal difference at home. The hosts win 69% of their home matches, scoring an average of 2.15 goals per game, while suffering defeat only 8% of the time. Al Jubail is positioned last, in 18th place, with a catastrophic away record – 0% wins, 92% losses, and a -20 goal difference. The visitors have kept zero clean sheets on the road, conceding an average of 2.42 goals, with their 12-match away run showing only defeats. Abha's form (3 wins, 2 draws in the last 5 matches) coupled with their advantage in possession (54% vs 46%) and xG (1.57 vs 0.9) further confirms their clear superiority. The only factor potentially limiting the margin of victory for the hosts is their 31% clean sheet rate, which offers a slim chance for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Abha have a high probability of scoring, as Al Jubail concede an average of 2.42 goals per match and have a 0% clean sheet rate, while allowing 1.68 xGA. The away side's goal signal is moderate but real: 0.75 goals/match this season with 0.90 xG, and in the last 5 matches, they have scored 1.0 goal with 1.4 xG. Although Abha show better defensive form recently (0.8 goals conceded in the last 5), they keep a clean sheet in only 31% of their season matches, which favors the opponent scoring. BTTS metrics are close to the league average (Abha 46%, Al Jubail 50% vs. 61% in the league), and Abha's last 5 matches show an 80% BTTS rate. Overall, the data slightly favors BTTS - Yes, mainly due to Al Jubail's very weak defense, coupled with the visitors' non-zero offensive potential.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model suggests a match with clear potential for at least 2 goals, primarily due to Al Jubail's weak defense (2.42 goals conceded per match, 0% clean sheets, and 100% of matches conceding a goal). Abha generates solid offensive numbers for this level (xG 1.21, 4.0 shots on target/match), and in their last 5 matches, they have raised their goal average to 1.8 with an xG of 1.83. On the other hand, Al Jubail has limited attacking power (0.75 goals/match, 2.75 shots on target), which lowers the goal ceiling and more frequently supports outcomes below 3.5. Seasonal Over 1.5 rates (Abha 69%, Al Jubail 75%) and the league average of 2.91 goals further strengthen the scenario of at least two goals. Therefore, the strongest pick is Over 1.5, while the 2.5 line remains closer to a 'coin flip'.
View Over/Under statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abha | Al Jubail | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Abha is 83% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Abha · 1.2 pts / match - Al Jubail
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Abha is 141% better for: goals scored per match.
2.12 goals / match - Abha · 0.88 goals / match - Al Jubail
Abha is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Abha · 2 goals / match - Al Jubail
Abha scores in 96% of matches (24 of 25 matches), while Al Jubail keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
Al Jubail scores in 56% of matches (14 of 25 matches), while Abha keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Abha
Over / Under - Al Jubail
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Abha is 148% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Abha · 0.84 pts / match - Al Jubail
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Jubail - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 12%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abha
Al Jubail
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Abha | Liga | Al Jubail | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.92 | 2.91 | • 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 61% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 83% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Abha 1 - 0 - 0 Al Jubail. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Abha vs Al Jubail?
The First Division match finished Abha 2:0 Al Jubail. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abha vs Al Jubail?
Abha score 2.12 goals per game on average and Al Jubail 0.88. The First Division average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Abha's matches and 48% of Al Jubail's.
What form are Abha and Al Jubail in?
Over the last 5 games Abha have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Al Jubail 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abha vs Al Jubail?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Abha vs Al Jubail: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.