Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Abia Warriors play Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Abia Warriors: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Ikorodu City: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Abia Warriors scores 0.82 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 1.13 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Abia Warriors 29%, Ikorodu City 39%. Over 2.5: Abia Warriors 21%, Ikorodu City 34%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Abia Warriors has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.37. Abia Warriors: 5.6 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 7.0.
Match halves
Abia Warriors: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Abia Warriors: 16-30 (7 goals). Ikorodu City: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Abia Warriors are the favorites in this matchup: at home they score an average of 1.12 goals and concede only 0.35 goals per game, register a 71% clean sheet rate and 59% home win rate. Ikorodu City away average is 0.71 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded per game, with only 1.88 on-target shots on average and failing to score in 47% of away fixtures. In terms of chance quality the hosts also have the edge — Abia’s average xG is 1.66 versus 0.95 xG for the visitors on the road, and the hosts average 5.15 shots on target and 54% possession, indicating greater control and more clear-cut opportunities. The visitors have a better short-form run in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) and average 2.0 points per game in that period, whereas Abia averaged 1.2 points over their last 5; however this brief uptick for the visitors does not offset their negative away goal difference (-12) and high xG against of 1.85. Considering the hosts’ defensive superiority (0.35 goals conceded per game at home) and superior chance volume, I predict an Abia Warriors victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Abia Warriors | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ikorodu City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Abia Warriors · 1.2 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.13 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - Abia Warriors · 1.03 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Abia Warriors scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 47% (18 of 38 matches).
Ikorodu City scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Abia Warriors
Over / Under — Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Abia Warriors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Abia Warriors
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Abia Warriors | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.02 | ▲ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 38% | • 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 34% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Abia Warriors 0 - 0 - 1 Ikorodu City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Abia Warriors 2:1 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
Abia Warriors score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 1.13. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Abia Warriors's matches and 39% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Abia Warriors and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Abia Warriors have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ikorodu City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City?
The statistical background for Abia Warriors vs Ikorodu City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.