England - EFL League TwoWham StadiumData current as of 30 September 2026

Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Accrington Stanley play Cheltenham Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 3 October 2026. Venue: Wham Stadium.

Current form

Accrington Stanley: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Cheltenham Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Accrington Stanley scores 1.38 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Cheltenham Town scores 2.00 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Accrington Stanley 75%, Cheltenham Town 100%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 63%, Cheltenham Town 88%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.13. Accrington Stanley: 13.4 shots per match, Cheltenham Town: 9.6.

Match halves

Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50. Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Accrington Stanley: 0-15 (3 goals). Cheltenham Town: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.08)
(3.54)
(3.16)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.38Goals scored / match2
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.75Goals conceded / match1.5
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
46%Average possession43%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
4.5Shots on target / match4
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.38Shots per match9.63
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
4.5Shots on target4
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
10.3%Shot conversion20.8%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
46%Possession43%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.44xG for1.13
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.65xG against1.74
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

Shooting quality

Accrington Stanley: BalancedCheltenham Town: Counter-attacking
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
Accuracy (shots on target)34%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cheltenham Town is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 2.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley
DWLDD
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
DDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Cheltenham Town
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W38% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
LDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cheltenham Town is 45% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 2 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham Town is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.5 goals / match - Cheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley scoring profile: very strong

Accrington Stanley scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 matches).

Cheltenham Town scoring profile: very strong

Cheltenham Town scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

11Goals scored (season)16
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
14Goals conceded (season)12
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
3.13Average goals in match3.5
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
7Goals scored (last 5)11
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal100%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
50%2 goals75%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
13%3 goals25%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0%4 goals0%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal100%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
75%2 goals50%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
13%3 goals0%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0%4 goals0%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

75%
Accrington Stanley - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 8 matches
54%
League average

Goal patterns

63%BTTS at half-time25%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
25%BTTS in both halves13%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
38%Scored in both halves38%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS88%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
80%BTTS - last 5100%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time75%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cheltenham Town is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.75 pts / match - Cheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley - half-time state
25% leading38% draw38% trailing
Cheltenham Town - half-time state
50% leading25% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.75
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0.88Goals scored (1st half)1
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
2Average goals (1st half)1.5
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
25%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
25%No goal before half-time38%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.5
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)1
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
1.13Average goals (2nd half)2
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
50%Clean sheet after half-time13%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town
63%No goal after half-time25%
Accrington StanleyCheltenham Town

Accrington Stanley - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cheltenham Town - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Accrington Stanley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4
Cheltenham Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Accrington Stanley
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cheltenham Town
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
130%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
88%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Accrington Stanley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
179%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Cheltenham Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.87
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
204%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Accrington StanleyLigaCheltenham Town
Average goals in match▲ 3.132.55▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▲ 75%54%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%46%▲ 88%
Clean sheets▼ 13%27%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%70%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▼ 63%74%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.57
Home goals / match
0.98
Away goals / match
+60%
Home attack advantage
+38%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Accrington Stanley 1 - 0 - 1 Cheltenham Town. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Accrington Stanley FC
3 : 1
Cheltenham Town FC
Cheltenham Town FC
1 : 0
Accrington Stanley FC

FAQ

When do Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town play?

Accrington Stanley face Cheltenham Town on 3 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Wham Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Accrington Stanley won 1, Cheltenham Town won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

Accrington Stanley score 1.38 goals per game on average and Cheltenham Town 2.00. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 100% of Cheltenham Town's.

What form are Accrington Stanley and Cheltenham Town in?

Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Cheltenham Town 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town?

The statistical background for Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.