England - EFL League TwoWham StadiumData current as of 17 October 2026

Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Accrington Stanley play Gillingham in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Wham Stadium.

Current form

Accrington Stanley: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Gillingham: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Accrington Stanley scores 1.30 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Gillingham scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Accrington Stanley 60%, Gillingham 40%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 50%, Gillingham 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Accrington Stanley has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.16. Accrington Stanley: 14.0 shots per match, Gillingham: 10.2.

Match halves

Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Gillingham: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Accrington Stanley: 0-15 (3 goals). Gillingham: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.16)
(3.44)
(3.06)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.3Goals scored / match1.5
Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.4Goals conceded / match1
Accrington StanleyGillingham
47%Average possession46%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
4.3Shots on target / match3.6
Accrington StanleyGillingham

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14Shots per match10.2
Accrington StanleyGillingham
4.3Shots on target3.6
Accrington StanleyGillingham
9.3%Shot conversion14.7%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
47%Possession46%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.49xG for1.16
Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.43xG against1.52
Accrington StanleyGillingham

Shooting quality

Accrington Stanley: AttackingGillingham: Counter-attacking
Accrington StanleyGillingham
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gillingham is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 2 pts / match - Gillingham

Accrington Stanley
LDDWD
Season result split
20% W50% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-5-3
1.10 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-0
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Gillingham
WWLDW
Season result split
40% W40% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-2
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gillingham is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.3 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.5 goals / match - Gillingham

Gillingham is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.4 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1 goals / match - Gillingham

Accrington Stanley scoring profile: strong

Accrington Stanley scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

Gillingham scoring profile: strong

Gillingham scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).

13Goals scored (season)15
Accrington StanleyGillingham
14Goals conceded (season)10
Accrington StanleyGillingham
2.7Average goals in match2.5
Accrington StanleyGillingham
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Accrington StanleyGillingham
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Accrington StanleyGillingham

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal60%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
50%2 goals40%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
10%3 goals30%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0%4 goals20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

How often they concede at least...

70%1 goal60%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
60%2 goals20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
10%3 goals20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0%4 goals0%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
Accrington Stanley - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 10 matches
53%
League average

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
20%BTTS in both halves0%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
30%Scored in both halves20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS30%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
40%BTTS - last 520%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

70%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
30%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Accrington Stanley is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 1 pts / match - Gillingham

Accrington Stanley - half-time state
20% leading50% draw30% trailing
Gillingham - half-time state
10% leading70% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.3
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.6Average goals (1st half)0.7
Accrington StanleyGillingham
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
40%No goal before half-time70%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.8
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
Accrington StanleyGillingham
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Accrington StanleyGillingham
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Accrington StanleyGillingham
60%Clean sheet after half-time70%
Accrington StanleyGillingham
60%No goal after half-time50%
Accrington StanleyGillingham

Accrington Stanley - second-half results

30% W50% D20% L
11
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gillingham - second-half results

50% W30% D20% L
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Accrington Stanley - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Gillingham - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.00
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Accrington Stanley
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Gillingham
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
5
0
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Accrington Stanley

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
141%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Gillingham

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
67%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Accrington StanleyLigaGillingham
Average goals in match▲ 2.702.48• 2.50
Both teams scored▲ 60%53%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 30%28%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 70%66%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%76%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Accrington Stanley 0 - 1 - 1 Gillingham. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Gillingham FC
2 : 0
Accrington Stanley FC
Accrington Stanley FC
1 : 1
Gillingham FC

FAQ

When do Accrington Stanley and Gillingham play?

Accrington Stanley face Gillingham on 17 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Wham Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Accrington Stanley and Gillingham?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Accrington Stanley won 0, Gillingham won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?

Accrington Stanley score 1.30 goals per game on average and Gillingham 1.50. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 40% of Gillingham's.

What form are Accrington Stanley and Gillingham in?

Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Gillingham 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham?

The statistical background for Accrington Stanley vs Gillingham — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.