Accrington Stanley vs Notts County: match statistics
Notts County sits 4th in the table and displays noticeably better form than Accrington Stanley (15th position). The visitors have a higher away win rate (47%) than the hosts do at home (44%), and their goal difference is more favorable (56 goals scored this season compared to Accrington's 38). Accrington is in terrible form over their last 5 matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per game), while Notts County averages 1.2 points per game. Notts County also has a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and less frequently finishes away games without a goal (18% vs 28% for the hosts at home). Despite a slight xG advantage for the hosts at their own stadium (1.46 vs 1.18 for the visitors), current form and league position advocate for a Notts County victory.
Accrington Stanley vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Accrington Stanley play Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Accrington Stanley: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Notts County: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Accrington Stanley scores 1.02 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.59 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Accrington Stanley 41%, Notts County 53%. Over 2.5: Accrington Stanley 37%, Notts County 55%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Notts County has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.31. Accrington Stanley: 11.7 shots per match, Notts County: 11.0.
Match halves
Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.54. Notts County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (9 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Notts County sits 4th in the table and displays noticeably better form than Accrington Stanley (15th position). The visitors have a higher away win rate (47%) than the hosts do at home (44%), and their goal difference is more favorable (56 goals scored this season compared to Accrington's 38). Accrington is in terrible form over their last 5 matches (0 wins, 0.4 points per game), while Notts County averages 1.2 points per game. Notts County also has a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and less frequently finishes away games without a goal (18% vs 28% for the hosts at home). Despite a slight xG advantage for the hosts at their own stadium (1.46 vs 1.18 for the visitors), current form and league position advocate for a Notts County victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Accrington Stanley | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 450% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 2.2 pts / match - Notts County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.02 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.59 goals / match - Notts County
Notts County is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.06 goals / match - Notts County
Accrington Stanley scores in 61% of matches (28 of 46 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
Notts County scores in 82% of matches (40 of 49 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 26% (12 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Accrington Stanley
Over / Under — Notts County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Notts County is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Accrington Stanley · 1.49 pts / match - Notts County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Accrington Stanley
Notts County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Accrington Stanley | Liga | Notts County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.28 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 52% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Accrington Stanley 1 - 0 - 0 Notts County. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?
The EFL League Two match finished Accrington Stanley 0:4 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?
Accrington Stanley score 1.02 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Accrington Stanley's matches and 53% of Notts County's.
What form are Accrington Stanley and Notts County in?
Over the last 5 games Accrington Stanley have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Notts County 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Accrington Stanley vs Notts County?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.