Adama Kenema vs Bahardar: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Adama Kenema played Bahardar in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 25 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Adama Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bahardar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Adama Kenema scores 0.50 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Bahardar scores 1.17 and concedes 0.83. League average: 1.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Adama Kenema 17%, Bahardar 50%. Over 2.5: Adama Kenema 17%, Bahardar 33%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Bahardar has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.07. Adama Kenema: 7.0 shots per match, Bahardar: 7.7.

Match halves

Adama Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Bahardar: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Adama Kenema: 16-30 (1 goals). Bahardar: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Adama KenemaBahardar
7Shots5
Adama KenemaBahardar
1Shots on target2
Adama KenemaBahardar
1.07xG1.06
Adama KenemaBahardar
7Corners4
Adama KenemaBahardar
76Dangerous attacks82
Adama KenemaBahardar
15Fouls17
Adama KenemaBahardar
0Cards0
Adama KenemaBahardar

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Adama KenemaBahardar
0.5Goals scored / match1.17
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.33Goals conceded / match0.83
Adama KenemaBahardar
57%Average possession51%
Adama KenemaBahardar
1.83Shots on target / match3
Adama KenemaBahardar

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match7.67
Adama KenemaBahardar
1.83Shots on target3
Adama KenemaBahardar
7.1%Shot conversion15.2%
Adama KenemaBahardar
57%Possession51%
Adama KenemaBahardar
1.07xG for1.2
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.82xG against1.14
Adama KenemaBahardar

Shooting quality

Adama Kenema: BalancedBahardar: Efficient finishing
Adama KenemaBahardar
Accuracy (shots on target)26%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Adama Kenema is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Bahardar

Adama Kenema
DDWWL
Season result split
33% W50% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 at home
1-2-0
DDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 0.85BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Bahardar
DDDLW
Season result split
33% W50% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-1
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahardar is 134% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 1.17 goals / match - Bahardar

Adama Kenema is 152% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.33 goals / match - Adama Kenema · 0.83 goals / match - Bahardar

Adama Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Adama Kenema scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

Bahardar scoring profile: more difficult

Bahardar scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 83% (5 of 6 matches).

3Goals scored (season)7
Adama KenemaBahardar
2Goals conceded (season)5
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.83Average goals in match2
Adama KenemaBahardar
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Adama KenemaBahardar
2Goals conceded (last 5)4
Adama KenemaBahardar

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal67%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%2 goals33%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%3 goals17%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Adama KenemaBahardar

How often they concede at least...

17%1 goal50%
Adama KenemaBahardar
17%2 goals17%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%3 goals17%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%4 goals0%
Adama KenemaBahardar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time17%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%Scored in both halves17%
Adama KenemaBahardar

BTTS and goal count

17%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Adama KenemaBahardar
20%BTTS - last 540%
Adama KenemaBahardar

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

17%Min. 1 goal before half-time33%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time17%
Adama KenemaBahardar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Adama KenemaBahardar

2nd half

33%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
Adama KenemaBahardar
17%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Adama KenemaBahardar
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Adama KenemaBahardar

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Adama Kenema is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Adama Kenema · 1.17 pts / match - Bahardar

Adama Kenema - half-time state
17% leading83% draw0% trailing
Bahardar - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.17
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Adama KenemaBahardar
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.17Average goals (1st half)0.83
Adama KenemaBahardar
100%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Adama KenemaBahardar
83%No goal before half-time67%
Adama KenemaBahardar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
Adama KenemaBahardar
0.67Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Adama KenemaBahardar
83%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Adama KenemaBahardar
67%No goal after half-time50%
Adama KenemaBahardar

Adama Kenema - second-half results

17% W67% R17% P
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahardar - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Adama Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.20.8
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
80%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
34%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
17%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
37%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Adama KenemaLigaBahardar
Average goals in match 0.831.77 2.00
Both teams scored 17%38% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 17%28% 33%
Clean sheets 83%42% 50%
Goal before half-time 17%52% 33%
Goal after half-time 33%55% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.77
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / match
0.90
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Adama Kenema 1:0 Bahardar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?

Adama Kenema score 0.50 goals per game on average and Bahardar 1.17. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 17% of Adama Kenema's matches and 50% of Bahardar's.

What form are Adama Kenema and Bahardar in?

Over the last 5 games Adama Kenema have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bahardar 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adama Kenema vs Bahardar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.