Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix: match statistics
Adelaide United demonstrates decidedly better form and home statistics, with a 60% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, failing to score in only 20% of games. Wellington Phoenix is in a crisis of form, having not won any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors have a weak defense in away matches (averaging 2.13 goals conceded) and only a 25% win rate on the road. The difference in league position (4th place vs 12th place) along with the advantage in possession and xG for Adelaide further confirm their clear superiority in this clash.
Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Adelaide United played Wellington Phoenix in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Adelaide United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Wellington Phoenix: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Adelaide United scores 1.74 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Wellington Phoenix scores 1.47 and concedes 2.05. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Adelaide United 74%, Wellington Phoenix 74%. Over 2.5: Adelaide United 74%, Wellington Phoenix 79%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Adelaide United has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. Adelaide United: 12.7 shots per match, Wellington Phoenix: 12.4.
Match halves
Adelaide United: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.00. Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Adelaide United: 76-90+ (8 goals). Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Adelaide United demonstrates decidedly better form and home statistics, with a 60% win rate at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 2 goals per home match, failing to score in only 20% of games. Wellington Phoenix is in a crisis of form, having not won any of their last 5 matches and conceding as many as 13 goals in that period. The visitors have a weak defense in away matches (averaging 2.13 goals conceded) and only a 25% win rate on the road. The difference in league position (4th place vs 12th place) along with the advantage in possession and xG for Adelaide further confirm their clear superiority in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Adelaide United | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Adelaide United is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Adelaide United · 0.4 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - Adelaide United · 1.47 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Adelaide United · 2.05 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Wellington Phoenix scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Adelaide United
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Adelaide United · 1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Adelaide United | Liga | Wellington Phoenix | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 56% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 55% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 73% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Adelaide United 0 - 1 - 1 Wellington Phoenix. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
The A-League match finished Adelaide United 1:1 Wellington Phoenix. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Adelaide United won 0, Wellington Phoenix won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Adelaide United score 1.74 goals per game on average and Wellington Phoenix 1.47. The A-League average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Adelaide United's matches and 74% of Wellington Phoenix's.
What form are Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix in?
Over the last 5 games Adelaide United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wellington Phoenix 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.