Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite a 50% home win record, the team shows solid offensive form with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a high xG (1.7), indicating the creation of quality scoring chances. Adelaide United records very poor results away with just 20% wins and a streak of four consecutive losses prior to their last triumph. The visitors possess a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and a lower xG (1.23) compared to the hosts. A key factor is that Adelaide has not drawn a single game this season, suggesting a decisive result, and the statistics favor Wellington. Both teams have identical PPG (1.2) in their last five matches, but home advantage and superior offensive metrics give the hosts a real chance to secure all three points.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wellington Phoenix played Adelaide United in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Adelaide United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.55 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Adelaide United scores 1.45 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wellington Phoenix 82%, Adelaide United 64%. Over 2.5: Wellington Phoenix 82%, Adelaide United 73%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Wellington Phoenix has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.40. Wellington Phoenix: 13.3 shots per match, Adelaide United: 12.1.
Match halves
Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91. Adelaide United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (5 goals). Adelaide United: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wellington Phoenix holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite a 50% home win record, the team shows solid offensive form with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a high xG (1.7), indicating the creation of quality scoring chances. Adelaide United records very poor results away with just 20% wins and a streak of four consecutive losses prior to their last triumph. The visitors possess a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and a lower xG (1.23) compared to the hosts. A key factor is that Adelaide has not drawn a single game this season, suggesting a decisive result, and the statistics favor Wellington. Both teams have identical PPG (1.2) in their last five matches, but home advantage and superior offensive metrics give the hosts a real chance to secure all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wellington Phoenix is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.45 goals / match - Adelaide United
Adelaide United is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.55 goals / match - Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Adelaide United scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under - Adelaide United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.27 pts / match - Adelaide United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.36 | 2.58 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 82% | 49% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 69% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Wellington Phoenix 1 - 0 - 0 Adelaide United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:2 Adelaide United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.55 goals per game on average and Adelaide United 1.45. The A-League average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 64% of Adelaide United's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Adelaide United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
The statistical background for Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.