AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: match statistics
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and only 15% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a better goal difference at home (+15) than APOEL away (+11). APOEL, despite a solid 54% away win rate, shows inconsistency overall in their last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for AEK). The key factor is AEK's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and slightly better defensive efficiency at home (0.92 goals conceded vs 1.15 for APOEL away). Recent form of both teams is even, but the home advantage and AEK Larnaca's home statistics give them a slight edge, although a draw remains a realistic scenario in this evenly-matched clash.
AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played APOEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. APOEL: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 1.88 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. APOEL scores 1.73 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 54%, APOEL 54%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 50%, APOEL 54%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
APOEL has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.54. AEK Larnaca: 12.1 shots per match, APOEL: 13.9.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.88. APOEL: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.19.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 76-90+ (11 goals). APOEL: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca displays impressive home form with a 62% win rate and only 15% losses at their own stadium, scoring an average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts occupy a higher league position (2nd place) and have a better goal difference at home (+15) than APOEL away (+11). APOEL, despite a solid 54% away win rate, shows inconsistency overall in their last five matches (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG for AEK). The key factor is AEK's advantage in possession (59% vs 52%) and slightly better defensive efficiency at home (0.92 goals conceded vs 1.15 for APOEL away). Recent form of both teams is even, but the home advantage and AEK Larnaca's home statistics give them a slight edge, although a draw remains a realistic scenario in this evenly-matched clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
APOEL is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.8 pts / match - APOEL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.73 goals / match - APOEL
AEK Larnaca is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.04 goals / match - APOEL
AEK Larnaca scores in 88% of matches (23 of 26 matches), while APOEL keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
APOEL scores in 85% of matches (22 of 26 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - APOEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.54 pts / match - APOEL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
APOEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
APOEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | APOEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 40% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 32% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEK Larnaca 1 - 1 - 0 APOEL. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:0 APOEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Larnaca and APOEL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 1, APOEL won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
AEK Larnaca score 1.88 goals per game on average and APOEL 1.73. The First Division average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 54% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 54% of APOEL's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and APOEL in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and APOEL 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AEK Larnaca vs APOEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.