AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: match statistics
AEK Larnaca is in significantly better form and boasts superior home statistics, with a 64% win rate at their stadium and an impressive goal difference of 43:21 for the season. The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match, complemented by 59% possession and a high 15% conversion rate. Olympiakos performs considerably worse in away fixtures, winning only 27% of matches and conceding an average of 1.18 goals per game while scoring just 0.82. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-4) and the fact they fail to score in 36% of their away games further diminish their chances. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts, who create more chances (1.65 xG) than Olympiakos (1.16 xG), confirming their offensive superiority in this encounter.
AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played Olympiakos in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Olympiakos: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 1.87 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Olympiakos scores 0.83 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 57%, Olympiakos 43%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 52%, Olympiakos 35%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.13. AEK Larnaca: 12.0 shots per match, Olympiakos: 8.5.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.83. Olympiakos: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 31-45+ (9 goals). Olympiakos: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca is in significantly better form and boasts superior home statistics, with a 64% win rate at their stadium and an impressive goal difference of 43:21 for the season. The hosts score an average of 2.09 goals per home match, complemented by 59% possession and a high 15% conversion rate. Olympiakos performs considerably worse in away fixtures, winning only 27% of matches and conceding an average of 1.18 goals per game while scoring just 0.82. The visitors' negative away goal difference (-4) and the fact they fail to score in 36% of their away games further diminish their chances. The difference in expected goals (xG) also favors the hosts, who create more chances (1.65 xG) than Olympiakos (1.16 xG), confirming their offensive superiority in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Olympiakos | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.8 pts / match - Olympiakos
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1.87 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.83 goals / match - Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.3 goals / match - Olympiakos
AEK Larnaca scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while Olympiakos keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Olympiakos scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Olympiakos
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.96 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.22 pts / match - Olympiakos
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Olympiakos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
Olympiakos
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Olympiakos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.78 | 2.53 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 47% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 34% | • 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 71% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 - 0 Olympiakos. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:1 Olympiakos. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
AEK Larnaca score 1.87 goals per game on average and Olympiakos 0.83. The First Division average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 43% of Olympiakos's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Olympiakos in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Olympiakos 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Olympiakos?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.