AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: match statistics
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEK Larnaca played Omonia Aradippou in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 12 October 2026. Venue: AEK Arena - George Karapatakis. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
AEK Larnaca: 3-0-1, 2.25 points/match. Omonia Aradippou: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEK Larnaca scores 2.25 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Omonia Aradippou scores 1.00 and concedes 0.75. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEK Larnaca 75%, Omonia Aradippou 75%. Over 2.5: AEK Larnaca 75%, Omonia Aradippou 25%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
AEK Larnaca has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.20. AEK Larnaca: 11.8 shots per match, Omonia Aradippou: 9.5.
Match halves
AEK Larnaca: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Omonia Aradippou: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
AEK Larnaca: 16-30 (3 goals). Omonia Aradippou: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 12 goals in the process, while Omonia Aradippou have recorded 2 wins and scored 6 goals. The hosts are also more clinical at home, averaging 1.5 goals with a 16% shot conversion rate, while the visitors score 0.5 goals per away match with a 6% conversion rate. However, AEK’s advantage is not clear-cut: they concede chances worth an average xG of 1.91 at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there. Omonia have conceded an average of just 0.5 goals away from home and have drawn both of their away matches so far, although their opponents have created chances worth an average xG of 2.28. The hosts’ greater attacking efficiency points towards a win, but Omonia’s run of away draws means a share of the points remains a significant possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of games, a clear indication in favour of BTTS - Yes. AEK averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded during this period, while Omonia scored 1.2 goals with an average xG of 1.24, so the visitors also have a solid chance of finding the net. The hosts’ prospects are boosted by the fact that Omonia allows chances worth an average xG of 2.28, although they have conceded just 0.5 goals per match so far. Caution is warranted, as Omonia have failed to score in 50% of their matches this season and average only 2.5 shots on target; nevertheless, both teams’ recent scoring form points towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in any of AEK’s home matches or Omonia’s away matches so far. AEK average 1.5 goals at home, while Omonia score just 0.5 away, limiting the chances of a very high-scoring game. However, the risk posed by the home side should be considered: they have averaged 2.4 goals across their last 5 matches, and Omonia’s away xG against is 2.28. I therefore estimate a total of 2.45 goals and see a clearer edge on Under 3.5 than on the more demanding Under 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
AEK have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.4 goals, while Omonia have won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.2 goals. The home side led at the break in 2 of those 5 matches, while the visitors failed to score before half-time in 4 of 5, pointing to an early AEK advantage. AEK’s average xG is 1.31, while their opponents have conceded chances worth 2.28 xG per match, so the hosts should have opportunities to score. After the break, AEK averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches, although Omonia conceded just 0.4 goals over that period, making it uncertain whether AEK can hold on to their lead. The strongest scenario, however, remains an AEK lead at the break and a win at the final whistle: HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEK Larnaca | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEK Larnaca is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1.5 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEK Larnaca is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
2.25 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 1 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Aradippou is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - AEK Larnaca · 0.75 goals / match - Omonia Aradippou
AEK Larnaca scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Omonia Aradippou keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Omonia Aradippou scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while AEK Larnaca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEK Larnaca
Over / Under - Omonia Aradippou
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEK Larnaca is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - AEK Larnaca · 1 pts / match - Omonia Aradippou
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEK Larnaca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Omonia Aradippou - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 25% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Aradippou
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEK Larnaca | Liga | Omonia Aradippou | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.25 | 3.06 | ▼ 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 62% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEK Larnaca 1 - 0 - 1 Omonia Aradippou. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
The First Division match finished AEK Larnaca 1:0 Omonia Aradippou. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEK Larnaca won 1, Omonia Aradippou won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
AEK Larnaca score 2.25 goals per game on average and Omonia Aradippou 1.00. The First Division average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 75% of AEK Larnaca's matches and 75% of Omonia Aradippou's.
What form are AEK Larnaca and Omonia Aradippou in?
Over the last 5 games AEK Larnaca have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Omonia Aradippou 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.