AEL vs Aris: match statistics
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AEL vs Aris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL play Aris in First Division (Cyprus). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Stelios Kyriakides.
Current form
AEL: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Aris: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Aris scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 33%, Aris 67%. Over 2.5: AEL 50%, Aris 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Aris has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.64. AEL: 13.2 shots per match, Aris: 13.2.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Aris: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
AEL: 46-60 (4 goals). Aris: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Aris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AEL is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - AEL · 1.6 pts / match - Aris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - AEL · 1.17 goals / match - Aris
AEL scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Aris keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Aris scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Aris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Aris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Aris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Aris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.00 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEL 1 - 0 - 1 Aris. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do AEL and Aris play?
AEL face Aris on 25 October 2026 in First Division at Stadio Stelios Kyriakides. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEL and Aris?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEL won 1, Aris won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Aris?
AEL score 1.67 goals per game on average and Aris 1.17. The First Division average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 33% of AEL's matches and 67% of Aris's.
What form are AEL and Aris in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Aris 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Aris?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


