AEL vs Ethnikos Achna: match statistics
AEL displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.31, and with an xG of 1.28 vs. 1.07, this highlights their superiority. Ethnikos Achna has a catastrophic away record – only 8% wins, 85% losses, and a dismal goal difference of -20 in away matches. The visitors fail to score in 46% of their away games, averaging only 0.77 goals scored while conceding 2.31 per match. Recent form for both teams is poor (0.6 points per game each), however, AEL's advantage in home statistics combined with Ethnikos's disastrous away performances points to a home win. The difference in quality on home soil and the complete lack of effectiveness from the guests in away matches make AEL's triumph the most likely scenario.
AEL vs Ethnikos Achna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AEL played Ethnikos Achna in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AEL: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Ethnikos Achna: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AEL scores 1.19 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Ethnikos Achna scores 0.96 and concedes 1.69. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AEL 38%, Ethnikos Achna 38%. Over 2.5: AEL 54%, Ethnikos Achna 54%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Ethnikos Achna has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.12. AEL: 8.3 shots per match, Ethnikos Achna: 9.4.
Match halves
AEL: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.73. Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
AEL: 76-90+ (9 goals). Ethnikos Achna: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AEL displays significantly better home form with a 38% win rate and a +2 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.46 goals per match at home while conceding only 1.31, and with an xG of 1.28 vs. 1.07, this highlights their superiority. Ethnikos Achna has a catastrophic away record – only 8% wins, 85% losses, and a dismal goal difference of -20 in away matches. The visitors fail to score in 46% of their away games, averaging only 0.77 goals scored while conceding 2.31 per match. Recent form for both teams is poor (0.6 points per game each), however, AEL's advantage in home statistics combined with Ethnikos's disastrous away performances points to a home win. The difference in quality on home soil and the complete lack of effectiveness from the guests in away matches make AEL's triumph the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AEL | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - AEL · 0.96 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
AEL is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - AEL · 1.69 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna
AEL scores in 62% of matches (16 of 26 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Ethnikos Achna scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AEL
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AEL is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - AEL · 1.08 pts / match - Ethnikos Achna
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AEL
Ethnikos Achna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| AEL | Liga | Ethnikos Achna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.61 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 33% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): AEL 1 - 1 - 0 Ethnikos Achna. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
The First Division match finished AEL 1:1 Ethnikos Achna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AEL and Ethnikos Achna?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches AEL won 1, Ethnikos Achna won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
AEL score 1.19 goals per game on average and Ethnikos Achna 0.96. The First Division average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 38% of AEL's matches and 38% of Ethnikos Achna's.
What form are AEL and Ethnikos Achna in?
Over the last 5 games AEL have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Ethnikos Achna 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.