AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient: match statistics
AFC Wimbledon displays solid home form with a 47% home win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 overall fixtures, scoring 10 goals, which indicates strong offensive form. Leyton Orient holds very poor away records – only a 28% win rate and a staggering 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per away game alongside a -14 away goal difference. Although Orient has won their last 2 matches, their away form remains alarming with a losing streak in their last 5 matches on foreign soil. The xG statistics also lean in the hosts' favor (1.23 vs 1.29 xG For, but 1.17 vs 1.57 xG Against), and AFC Wimbledon boasts a significantly better defense at home. Given the hosts' home advantage and Leyton Orient's away vulnerabilities, an AFC Wimbledon victory is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AFC Wimbledon played Leyton Orient in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
AFC Wimbledon: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Leyton Orient: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
AFC Wimbledon scores 1.28 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Leyton Orient scores 1.36 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AFC Wimbledon 50%, Leyton Orient 64%. Over 2.5: AFC Wimbledon 50%, Leyton Orient 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Leyton Orient has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.18. AFC Wimbledon: 10.5 shots per match, Leyton Orient: 11.5.
Match halves
AFC Wimbledon: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.72. Leyton Orient: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
AFC Wimbledon: 61-75 (12 goals). Leyton Orient: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AFC Wimbledon displays solid home form with a 47% home win rate and a positive goal difference (+7) at their own stadium. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 overall fixtures, scoring 10 goals, which indicates strong offensive form. Leyton Orient holds very poor away records – only a 28% win rate and a staggering 67% loss rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per away game alongside a -14 away goal difference. Although Orient has won their last 2 matches, their away form remains alarming with a losing streak in their last 5 matches on foreign soil. The xG statistics also lean in the hosts' favor (1.23 vs 1.29 xG For, but 1.17 vs 1.57 xG Against), and AFC Wimbledon boasts a significantly better defense at home. Given the hosts' home advantage and Leyton Orient's away vulnerabilities, an AFC Wimbledon victory is the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AFC Wimbledon | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AFC Wimbledon is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.8 pts / match - Leyton Orient
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Leyton Orient is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.36 goals / match - Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - AFC Wimbledon · 1.67 goals / match - Leyton Orient
AFC Wimbledon scores in 64% of matches (23 of 36 matches), while Leyton Orient keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
Leyton Orient scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while AFC Wimbledon keeps a clean sheet in 19% (7 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AFC Wimbledon
Over / Under - Leyton Orient
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AFC Wimbledon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leyton Orient - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AFC Wimbledon
Leyton Orient
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| AFC Wimbledon | Liga | Leyton Orient | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.61 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AFC Wimbledon 1 - 0 - 0 Leyton Orient. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
The EFL League One match finished AFC Wimbledon 2:4 Leyton Orient. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
AFC Wimbledon score 1.28 goals per game on average and Leyton Orient 1.36. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of AFC Wimbledon's matches and 64% of Leyton Orient's.
What form are AFC Wimbledon and Leyton Orient in?
Over the last 5 games AFC Wimbledon have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Leyton Orient 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AFC Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.