Denmark - SuperligaVejlby StadionData current as of 16 October 2026

AGF vs Midtjylland: match statistics

AGF crest
AGF
0 : 2half-time 0:1
Midtjylland crest
Midtjylland

AGF vs Midtjylland: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

AGF played Midtjylland in Superliga (Denmark). The match was played on 2 September 2026. Venue: Vejlby Stadion. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

AGF: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Midtjylland: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

AGF scores 1.40 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Midtjylland scores 1.60 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: AGF 100%, Midtjylland 80%. Over 2.5: AGF 80%, Midtjylland 40%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

AGF has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.69. AGF: 18.2 shots per match, Midtjylland: 15.0.

Match halves

AGF: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Midtjylland: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.

Goals by minute

AGF: 31-45+ (2 goals). Midtjylland: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Superliga: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 1.25, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Midtjylland are unbeaten this season, with a record of 3 wins and 1 draw, and have collected 13 points from their last five matches, recording 4 victories and a draw. AGF are in a clear crisis: they have failed to win any of their last five games, suffering 4 defeats and conceding as many as 14 goals during that period. The visitors are significantly more clinical, averaging 2 goals away from home with a 19% shot conversion rate, while AGF convert just 7% of their attempts. However, the hosts create plenty of chances at home, averaging 22 shots and recording an xG of 2.28 compared with Midtjylland’s 1.28, which increases the likelihood of a goal and a draw. Nevertheless, the visitors’ more solid defensive record in their latest run, during which they conceded only 4 goals, combined with AGF’s disastrous form, points towards a Midtjylland victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Midtjylland average 2.0 goals away from home, while AGF have conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match across their last five fixtures, clearly strengthening the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts create plenty of chances at home: their average xG stands at 2.15, with 19.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match, while Midtjylland allow opponents an xG of 1.35 away from home. The seasonal BTTS rate is 100% for Midtjylland and 50% for AGF, while over their last five matches, the teams recorded this outcome in 60% and 80% of cases respectively. The main argument against this pick is the visitors’ solid recent defensive record, having conceded just 0.8 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of AGF’s home fixtures. However, the hosts’ attacking pressure should give them a realistic route to goal. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is more likely than BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Midtjylland are in excellent attacking form: they have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, with an xG of 1.90. Over the same period, AGF conceded as many as 2.8 goals per match and allowed opponents an average of 2.02 xG, which clearly supports the prospect of the visitors scoring at least twice. The hosts create plenty of chances at home, averaging 19.5 shots and 6.5 shots on target, while their season xG stands at 2.15. Both teams scored in 100% of their matches in the analyzed sample, while Over 1.5 goals landed in 100% of Midtjylland’s games. The Over 1.5 goals line therefore has the strongest support from both current form and the two teams’ chance-creation potential.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Midtjylland are in clearly superior form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding just 0.8, while AGF have suffered 4 defeats, scoring 1.0 goal and conceding 2.8 on average. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while the hosts were also trailing at half-time in 60%; the half-time goal difference stands at +3 for Midtjylland and -4 for AGF. The visitors’ advantage remains evident after the break, as they score an average of 1.4 goals, while AGF concede as many as 1.4 in this period. Although AGF have a high home xG of 2.15, Midtjylland’s current form and defensive record—in their last five matches, they have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 80% of cases—most strongly point to the visitors leading at the break and securing a full-time victory.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
AGFMidtjylland
18Shots14
AGFMidtjylland
3Shots on target7
AGFMidtjylland
1.67xG1.65
AGFMidtjylland
8Corners5
AGFMidtjylland
45Dangerous attacks38
AGFMidtjylland
18Fouls16
AGFMidtjylland
2Cards3
AGFMidtjylland

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.4Goals scored / match1.6
AGFMidtjylland
1.8Goals conceded / match1
AGFMidtjylland
58%Average possession58%
AGFMidtjylland
4.8Shots on target / match4.8
AGFMidtjylland

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.2Shots per match15
AGFMidtjylland
4.8Shots on target4.8
AGFMidtjylland
7.7%Shot conversion10.7%
AGFMidtjylland
58%Possession58%
AGFMidtjylland
1.97xG for1.69
AGFMidtjylland
1.37xG against1.11
AGFMidtjylland

Shooting quality

AGF: DominantMidtjylland: Dominant
AGFMidtjylland
Accuracy (shots on target)26%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Midtjylland is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - AGF · 2.2 pts / match - Midtjylland

AGF
DDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W60% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 at home
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.97Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Midtjylland
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
Last 5 away
1-2-0
WDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Midtjylland is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.4 goals / match - AGF · 1.6 goals / match - Midtjylland

Midtjylland is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - AGF · 1 goals / match - Midtjylland

AGF scoring profile: very strong

AGF scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Midtjylland keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Midtjylland scoring profile: very strong

Midtjylland scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while AGF keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

7Goals scored (season)8
AGFMidtjylland
9Goals conceded (season)5
AGFMidtjylland
3.2Average goals in match2.6
AGFMidtjylland
7Goals scored (last 5)8
AGFMidtjylland
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
AGFMidtjylland

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AGFMidtjylland
40%2 goals40%
AGFMidtjylland
0%3 goals20%
AGFMidtjylland
0%4 goals0%
AGFMidtjylland

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
AGFMidtjylland
80%2 goals20%
AGFMidtjylland
0%3 goals0%
AGFMidtjylland
0%4 goals0%
AGFMidtjylland

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

40%BTTS at half-time20%
AGFMidtjylland
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AGFMidtjylland
40%Scored in both halves20%
AGFMidtjylland

BTTS and goal count

80%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
AGFMidtjylland
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AGFMidtjylland
100%BTTS - last 580%
AGFMidtjylland

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
AGFMidtjylland
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
AGFMidtjylland
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
AGFMidtjylland

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
AGFMidtjylland
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
AGFMidtjylland
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AGFMidtjylland

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Midtjylland is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - AGF · 1.6 pts / match - Midtjylland

AGF - half-time state
20% leading40% draw40% trailing
Midtjylland - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.6
AGFMidtjylland
0.6Goals scored (1st half)1
AGFMidtjylland
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
AGFMidtjylland
1.6Average goals (1st half)1.6
AGFMidtjylland
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
AGFMidtjylland
40%No goal before half-time40%
AGFMidtjylland

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)1.6
AGFMidtjylland
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
AGFMidtjylland
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
AGFMidtjylland
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1
AGFMidtjylland
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
AGFMidtjylland
20%No goal after half-time40%
AGFMidtjylland

AGF - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Midtjylland - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AGF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-20
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Midtjylland - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

AGF
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Midtjylland
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
90%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

AGF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Midtjylland

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
65%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Superliga).

Teams vs league

AGFLigaMidtjylland
Average goals in match▲ 3.202.74▼ 2.60
Both teams scored▲ 100%62%▲ 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 80%53%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▼ 0%21%• 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%71%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▼ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.74
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+32%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. MidtjyllandGoalDenil CastilloAssist: Friday Ubi Etim
  2. AGFYellow cardColin Rosler
  3. AGFSubstitutionOn: Rasmus CarstensenOff: Colin Rosler
  4. MidtjyllandYellow cardKjell-Arik Wätjen
  5. MidtjyllandSubstitutionOn: Edward Chilufya Jr.Off: Friday Ubi Etim
  6. MidtjyllandSubstitutionOn: Abdou Aziz NdiayeOff: Beni Junior Dje Bi Dje
  7. AGFYellow cardMagnus Knudsen
  8. MidtjyllandYellow cardPhilip Anyanwu Billing
  9. MidtjyllandYellow cardRasmus Nissen Kristensen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): AGF 0 - 3 - 1 Midtjylland. Average goals 1.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Aarhus Gymnastikforening
0 : 0
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
2 : 1
Aarhus Gymnastikforening
FC Midtjylland
1 : 1
Aarhus Gymnastikforening
Aarhus Gymnastikforening
0 : 0
FC Midtjylland

FAQ

What was the result of AGF vs Midtjylland?

The Superliga match finished AGF 0:2 Midtjylland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between AGF and Midtjylland?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches AGF won 0, Midtjylland won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before AGF vs Midtjylland?

AGF score 1.40 goals per game on average and Midtjylland 1.60. The Superliga average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 100% of AGF's matches and 80% of Midtjylland's.

What form are AGF and Midtjylland in?

Over the last 5 games AGF have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Midtjylland 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGF vs Midtjylland?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.