AGMK vs Navbahor: match statistics
AGMK vs Navbahor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AGMK played Navbahor in Uzbekistan Super League (Uzbekistan). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
AGMK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Navbahor: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
AGMK scores 1.41 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Navbahor scores 1.77 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AGMK 64%, Navbahor 59%. Over 2.5: AGMK 59%, Navbahor 41%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Navbahor has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.67. AGMK: 13.1 shots per match, Navbahor: 14.3.
Match halves
AGMK: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Navbahor: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
AGMK: 76-90+ (9 goals). Navbahor: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uzbekistan Super League: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Navbahor come into this match with a clear advantage in form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches and have not lost any, while AGMK have recorded 3 wins, a draw and a defeat. The visitors have won 64% of their away matches, compared with just 36% of the hosts’ home games. Away from home, Navbahor average 1.55 goals and 5.91 shots on target per match, compared with AGMK’s 1.18 goals and 4.82 shots on target at home. The defensive record is equally important: the visitors concede an average of 0.64 goals away from home and keep a clean sheet in 55% of matches, while the hosts concede 1.27 goals per game at home. AGMK do create slightly better chances according to xG (1.79 at home versus Navbahor’s 1.75 away), but the visitors’ finishing and defensive stability point to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
AGMK score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while Navbahor average 1.55; both teams have failed to score in just 9% of their matches, pointing to goals at both ends. Their attacking potential is backed up by average xG figures of 1.66 for the hosts and 1.75 for the visitors. AGMK concede an average of 1.27 goals, and both teams scored in 73% of their matches. The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Navbahor’s defence: they concede just 0.64 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 55% of their games. Even so, both teams scored in 60% of each side’s last 5 matches, making BTTS - Yes marginally more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 64% of AGMK matches and as many as 91% of Navbahor matches. The visitors concede an average of just 0.64 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in 55% of their games, limiting the hosts’ scoring potential despite their average of 2.0 goals scored. Navbahor average 1.55 goals scored, while AGMK concede 1.27, so both teams could find the net, but that does not necessarily point to a high-scoring game. Over the last 5 matches, the average total goals were 2.2 in AGMK matches and 3.0 in Navbahor matches; the combined projection of 2.47 goals points towards staying below the selected line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for Navbahor to lead at the break comes from recent form: the visitors were ahead at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while AGMK led in only 1 of 5 and went into the break trailing twice. The visitors’ advantage could last until the final whistle, as they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals, while AGMK have won 3 and averaged 1.2 goals. Across the season, Navbahor have conceded an average of 0.64 goals per match, compared with 1.27 for AGMK, further supporting the scenario in which the visitors hold on to their lead. The visitors also average 1.45 points based on second-half results alone, compared with 1.00 for the hosts, so 2/2 is slightly more likely than a half-time draw followed by an away win. This is not a strong selection, however: AGMK led at the break in 73% of their home matches, while Navbahor have not trailed at half-time away from home at any point during the period examined.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AGMK | Navbahor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Navbahor is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - AGMK · 2.6 pts / match - Navbahor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Navbahor is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - AGMK · 1.77 goals / match - Navbahor
Navbahor is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - AGMK · 0.95 goals / match - Navbahor
AGMK scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Navbahor keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
Navbahor scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while AGMK keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AGMK
Over / Under - Navbahor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Navbahor is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - AGMK · 2.18 pts / match - Navbahor
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AGMK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Navbahor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AGMK
Navbahor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uzbekistan Super League).
Teams vs league
| AGMK | Liga | Navbahor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.73 | 2.69 | • 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): AGMK 2 - 0 - 1 Navbahor. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AGMK vs Navbahor?
The Uzbekistan Super League match finished AGMK 2:2 Navbahor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between AGMK and Navbahor?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches AGMK won 2, Navbahor won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before AGMK vs Navbahor?
AGMK score 1.41 goals per game on average and Navbahor 1.77. The Uzbekistan Super League average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 64% of AGMK's matches and 59% of Navbahor's.
What form are AGMK and Navbahor in?
Over the last 5 games AGMK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Navbahor 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AGMK vs Navbahor?
The statistical background for AGMK vs Navbahor — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.