Águila vs FAS: match statistics
Águila vs FAS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila played FAS in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Águila: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. FAS: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.31 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. FAS scores 2.08 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 48%, FAS 53%. Over 2.5: Águila 44%, FAS 51%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
FAS has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Águila: 9.8 shots per match, FAS: 11.0.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.62. FAS: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Águila: 61-75 (15 goals). FAS: 76-90+ (30 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict '2' — FAS win. Over the season FAS scored 106 goals versus Águila's 68 (a 38-goal differential) and has a superior away goal balance (+19 vs home +7), indicating an offensive edge for the visitors. FAS averages 1.92 goals away with a 19% conversion rate and 4.8 shots on target per match, while Águila at home averages 1.52 goals, 15% conversion and 4.42 shots on target; Águila's home xG is 1.56 versus FAS's 1.49 xG away, so chance creation will be similar but the visitors are more efficient. In the last five matches Águila has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 pts/match), FAS has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (1.6 pts/match); defensively FAS concedes slightly less (1.19 goals away vs Águila's 1.26 conceded at home) and has a higher clean sheet rate (27% vs 22%). Considering goals scored, efficiency (19% vs 15%) and a +19 away GD, I estimate probabilities: FAS 50%, draw 25%, Águila win 25%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because FAS scored 106 goals this season while Águila conceded 57, which strongly supports an away goal. Average xG shows 1.49 for FAS versus xG against hosts 1.08, so the visitors generate around 1.5 expected goals in this match. Águila average 2.24 goals per game (xG 1.58) against FAS’s average goals conceded 1.19, so the hosts also have realistic potential to score. Counterarguments are Águila’s 48% clean sheets and recent BTTS split over the last 5 matches: hosts 60% vs FAS 40%, but season-long metrics favor BTTS (FAS 58% and league average 54%). Considering the cumulative signals (xG 1.58 vs 1.49, 106 goals scored by FAS and only 27% clean sheets for FAS), I assess BTTS probability at about 65% versus 35% No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Águila scores on average 2.24 goals per home match, FAS as the away side averages 1.92; their xG are 1.58 (Águila) and 1.49 (FAS), indicating offensive potential for both teams. I calculated expected goals as the average of the attack xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: 1.47 for Águila ([1.58 + 1.35]/2) and 1.29 for FAS ([1.49 + 1.08]/2), totaling 2.76 expected goals. From a Poisson distribution with lambda=2.76 there is about a 76% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~52% for 3+ goals (Over 2.5) and ~30% for 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Season-long stats confirm this picture: Over 1.5 occurred in 80% of Águila’s matches and 88% of FAS’s matches, and in the last 5 meetings the teams scored 12 goals combined (Águila 7, FAS 5). Therefore I recommend betting on Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: the high combined xG (2.76) and seasonal 80%/88% Over 1.5 rates provide the best probability and value.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Águila led at half-time in 15 matches this season (60%) and averages 1.12 goals by the break while conceding only 0.24, whereas FAS held a HT lead in 7 games (28%) and averages 0.76 goals by half-time. Over full matches the home side wins 80% of fixtures and averages 2.24 goals per game versus FAS’s 1.19 conceded, suggesting that a lead at the break often converts into a Full-Time victory. In the last 5 matches Águila scored 7 goals by half-time (1.4 per game) compared to FAS’s 2 goals (0.4 per game), confirming the strong first-half form of the hosts. Additionally, the home xG is 1.58 versus the away 1.49, and Águila registers more shots (12.24 vs 10.2) and shots on target (5.48 vs 4.8), with the home team keeping a half-time clean sheet in 80% of matches; therefore the strongest signal is 1/1 (lead at the break and win at full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | FAS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Águila · 1.6 pts / match - FAS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FAS is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Águila · 2.08 goals / match - FAS
FAS is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Águila · 0.94 goals / match - FAS
Águila scores in 77% of matches (40 of 52 matches), while FAS keeps a clean sheet in 37% (19 of 51 matches).
FAS scores in 88% of matches (45 of 51 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 35% (18 of 52 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Águila
Over / Under - FAS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FAS is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Águila · 1.71 pts / match - FAS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FAS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (30 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +20 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
FAS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | FAS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.67 | ▲ 3.02 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▲ 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- FASGoalMiguel Ángel Murillo Valencia
- FASGoalJorge Antonio Cruz Cortez
- FASGoalYan Dos Santos Maciel
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Águila 1 - 2 - 2 FAS. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs FAS?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 0:3 FAS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and FAS?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Águila won 1, FAS won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs FAS?
Águila score 1.31 goals per game on average and FAS 2.08. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Águila's matches and 53% of FAS's.
What form are Águila and FAS in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FAS 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs FAS?
The statistical background for Águila vs FAS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.