Águila vs Firpo: match statistics
Águila vs Firpo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila played Firpo in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Águila: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Firpo: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.32 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Firpo scores 1.92 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 48%, Firpo 57%. Over 2.5: Águila 44%, Firpo 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Firpo has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.46. Águila: 9.8 shots per match, Firpo: 11.3.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.60. Firpo: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.27.
Goals by minute
Águila: 16-30 (14 goals). Firpo: 61-75 (26 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 2.80, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (Águila). In the last 5 matches Águila have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (PPG 1.6), while Firpo went winless over the same period, posting 0-4-1 (PPG 0.8), indicating superior form for the hosts. Seasonally Firpo hold a clear attacking edge (94 goals vs 66 for Águila) and better shot conversion on the road (23% vs 15%), but xG is virtually level: 1.56 for Águila at home versus 1.55 for Firpo away. Additionally, Águila have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches compared to 7 conceded by Firpo and record a higher home clean sheet rate (23% vs 17%), so I give the hosts a slight edge (45%/30%/25%).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Firpo presents a very strong signal for BTTS - Yes: seasonal BTTS 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, while Águila has BTTS 40% for the season and 40% in the last 5. Firpo’s attack is distinctly effective: 2.29 goals per game on average, 94 goals this season, xG_for 1.55 and a high shot conversion rate of 23%, meaning the visitors frequently convert chances into goals. Águila has a strong home defense: only 0.8 goals conceded per game on average for the season, 48% clean sheets and 0.6 goals conceded on average in the last 5 matches, however their xG_for 1.92 and xG_against 1.15 show they also create and concede chances. Comparing xG and goals (Águila 66 scored and 55 conceded vs Firpo 94 scored and 51 conceded) and the league BTTS rate of 54% — which Firpo clearly exceeds — supports both teams scoring; at the same time Águila’s high clean sheet rate (48%) reduces certainty. Overall, weighting the strong away BTTS signal (75%/80%) against the home clean sheet factor, I assess BTTS - Yes at 65% and No at 35% as the most justified forecast.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model and defensive data yield a combined expected goals total of 2.91: Águila 1.56 (attacking xG 1.92 vs opponent xG 1.20) and Firpo 1.35 (attacking xG 1.55 vs opponent xG 1.15). This 2.91 exceeds the league average of 2.68 and, under a Poisson distribution, translates to roughly a 79% probability for Over 1.5 goals, about 56% for Over 2.5 goals, and about 33% for Over 3.5 goals. Firpo averages 2.29 goals per game and has 71% of matches with over 2.5 goals, while Águila has 36% such matches; this increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Additionally, BTTS occurs in 40% of Águila’s matches and 75% of Firpo’s matches, indicating both teams score frequently and boosting the chances for Over 1.5/2.5. Consequently the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (79%) at the 1.5 line; Over 2.5 is moderately likely (56%), and Over 3.5 has a lower probability (33%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Firpo's lead at the break: Firpo led at half-time in 12 matches (50%) versus Águila, who led only in 5 matches (20%), with half-time goals per game averaging 0.92 for Firpo and 0.40 for Águila. Additionally, Firpo scores more overall (2.29 on average) than Águila (1.56) and has higher finishing efficiency—shot conversion 23% versus the hosts’ 13%—which increases the likelihood they will maintain the lead. However, Águila generates more chances (xG 1.92 and 12.4 shots per game versus Firpo’s xG 1.55 and 10.17 shots), so there is a real risk the hosts will stage a turnaround or level the score after half-time. Second halves also produce many goals: Firpo averages 2.0 goals in second halves and Águila 1.6, and the proportion of matches with at least one goal after the break is 92% for Firpo and 80% for Águila, which supports Firpo keeping their advantage. As a result, the most likely scenario is 2/2 (30%), with alternatives X/2 (14%) and 2/X (15%) due to Águila’s ability to create advantages (hosts’ last 5 matches: 2 wins, 40%) and the high share of clean sheets for the hosts this season (48%), so I also assign some weight to draw variants.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Águila is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Águila · 0.8 pts / match - Firpo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Firpo is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Águila · 1.92 goals / match - Firpo
Firpo is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Águila · 1.04 goals / match - Firpo
Águila scores in 76% of matches (38 of 50 matches), while Firpo keeps a clean sheet in 33% (16 of 49 matches).
Firpo scores in 84% of matches (41 of 49 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 34% (17 of 50 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Águila
Over / Under - Firpo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Firpo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (14 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (26 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
Firpo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | Firpo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.68 | ▲ 2.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- FirpoGoalCristian David Gil Hurtado
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Águila 1 - 2 - 2 Firpo. Average goals 2.80, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs Firpo?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 1:2 Firpo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and Firpo?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Águila won 1, Firpo won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs Firpo?
Águila score 1.32 goals per game on average and Firpo 1.92. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Águila's matches and 57% of Firpo's.
What form are Águila and Firpo in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Firpo 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs Firpo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Águila vs Firpo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.