Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: match statistics
Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Águila played Fuerte San Francisco in Salvadoran Primera División (El Salvador). The match was played on 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Juan Francisco Barraza. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Águila: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Fuerte San Francisco: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Águila scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Fuerte San Francisco scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Águila 67%, Fuerte San Francisco 33%. Over 2.5: Águila 50%, Fuerte San Francisco 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Fuerte San Francisco has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.41. Águila: 9.5 shots per match, Fuerte San Francisco: 9.2.
Match halves
Águila: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Fuerte San Francisco: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Águila: 76-90+ (3 goals). Fuerte San Francisco: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Salvadoran Primera División: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-0. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Águila remain without a win in their last five matches, but they have drawn 50% of their home games and scored an average of 1.5 goals. Fuerte San Francisco have a very poor away record: they have lost 67% of their matches, won none, and failed to score in every away fixture. The hosts create more danger, averaging 8 shots and 4.5 shots on target per match, compared with the visitors’ 7.67 attempts and 2.33 on target. The quality of chances also favors Águila, whose average xG stands at 1.35, while their opponents allow around 1.75 xG away from home. The hosts’ defense concedes as many as 2.5 goals per home match, so a draw remains a realistic scenario; however, the visitors’ lack of efficiency gives Águila the edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Fuerte San Francisco’s very poor finishing: the visitors have yet to score away from home, while they have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches. Their season BTTS rate stands at 0%, and at only 20% across their last five appearances, while they have failed to score in 100% of their away fixtures. Águila concede an average of 1.0 goal at home and keep a clean sheet in 33% of matches, further increasing the risk of another scoreless game for the visitors. The home side should create chances, as they average 7.67 shots on target per match compared with Fuerte San Francisco’s 2.33, while opponents score 1.67 goals against them away from home. Although Águila have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season, the low league-wide BTTS rate of 44% and the visitors’ scoring problems more clearly support a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Águila score an average of 1.33 goals at home, while Fuerte San Francisco have failed to score away from home despite conceding an average of 1.67 goals. The visitors have been shut out in 100% of their away matches, which significantly limits the potential for an open, high-scoring game. This season, both teams finished below 3.5 goals in 67% of their matches, and neither recorded a game with at least 5 goals. Águila’s last five appearances produced an average of 2.8 total goals, but Fuerte scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period. Although the hosts’ average xG is 1.63 and the visitors’ 1.21, the away side’s poor finishing supports the Under 3.5 goals option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Águila were leading at the break in all three of their matches played at home so far, scoring an average of 1.33 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.33. Fuerte San Francisco have yet to score in away matches, averaging 0.00 goals in the first half; however, they were level at half-time in two of those three games. The hosts’ advantage is also evident over the full match: they score an average of 1.33 goals per home game, while the visitors concede 1.67 goals away from home and have not recorded an away win. Águila also create significantly more danger, averaging 7.67 shots on target compared with the opponents’ 2.33, while the hosts’ xG stands at 1.63. Águila’s last five matches produced a remarkable 80% rate of draws at half-time, meaning X/X remains a strong alternative; nevertheless, the home first-half profile and Fuerte’s failure to score provide the strongest support for 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Águila | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fuerte San Francisco is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Águila · 1 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Águila is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Águila · 0.67 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Fuerte San Francisco is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Águila · 1.33 goals / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Águila scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Fuerte San Francisco keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Fuerte San Francisco scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Águila keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Águila
Over / Under - Fuerte San Francisco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fuerte San Francisco is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Águila · 1.83 pts / match - Fuerte San Francisco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Águila - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fuerte San Francisco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Águila
Fuerte San Francisco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Salvadoran Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Águila | Liga | Fuerte San Francisco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 17% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Águila 1 - 3 - 0 Fuerte San Francisco. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
The Salvadoran Primera División match finished Águila 4:1 Fuerte San Francisco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Águila and Fuerte San Francisco?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Águila won 1, Fuerte San Francisco won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Águila score 1.00 goals per game on average and Fuerte San Francisco 0.67. The Salvadoran Primera División average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Águila's matches and 33% of Fuerte San Francisco's.
What form are Águila and Fuerte San Francisco in?
Over the last 5 games Águila have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Fuerte San Francisco 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Águila vs Fuerte San Francisco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.