Airdrieonians vs Ayr United: match statistics
Airdrieonians vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Airdrieonians play Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Airdrieonians: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ayr United: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Airdrieonians scores 0.97 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.06 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Airdrieonians 44%, Ayr United 61%. Over 2.5: Airdrieonians 47%, Ayr United 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.17. Airdrieonians: 9.7 shots per match, Ayr United: 10.3.
Match halves
Airdrieonians: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.64. Ayr United: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Airdrieonians: 46-60 (9 goals). Ayr United: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Statistically the favorites are the visitors: Ayr’s average xG is 1.39 versus Airdrie’s 1.17, and Ayr averages 10.71 shots and 3.94 on target per match compared to the hosts’ 9.94 and 3.35, with conversion rates of 11% vs 8%. This translates into a clear difference in goal-scoring reliability — Airdrie score 0.82 goals at home on average and fail to score in 47% of matches, whereas Ayr score 1.18 goals away and fail to score in only 18% of away games. Defensively both teams concede 1.35 goals per match on average, but Airdrie’s home goal difference is -9 versus Ayr’s -3 away, and Airdrie’s home win rate is only 12% compared to Ayr’s 24% away win rate. Form is mixed: Airdrie have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches with an average of 1 point per game, while Ayr have 3 goals and 0.8 points on average in their last five, which partially reduces the visitors’ edge. Considering the superior xG (1.39 vs 1.17), conversion (11% vs 8%) and much lower percentage of blank matches (18% vs 47%), I tip an away win ‘2’ with probability 54%, draw 28% and home win 18%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Airdrieonians | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Airdrieonians is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 0.6 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Airdrieonians · 1.06 goals / match - Ayr United
Airdrieonians scores in 58% of matches (21 of 36 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (8 of 36 matches).
Ayr United scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Airdrieonians
Over / Under — Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 1.39 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Airdrieonians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Airdrieonians | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.43 | • 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Airdrieonians 0 - 1 - 2 Ayr United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Airdrieonians 2:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Airdrieonians and Ayr United?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Airdrieonians won 0, Ayr United won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?
Airdrieonians score 0.97 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.06. The Championship average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Airdrieonians's matches and 61% of Ayr United's.
What form are Airdrieonians and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Airdrieonians have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ayr United 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Airdrieonians vs Ayr United?
The statistical background for Airdrieonians vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.