Airdrieonians vs Montrose: match statistics
Airdrieonians vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Airdrieonians played Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Airdrieonians: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Montrose: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Airdrieonians scores 0.75 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.63 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Airdrieonians 50%, Montrose 50%. Over 2.5: Airdrieonians 50%, Montrose 100%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Airdrieonians has higher xG: 1.06 vs 0.91. Airdrieonians: 8.3 shots per match, Montrose: 6.8.
Match halves
Airdrieonians: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38. Montrose: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Airdrieonians: 31-45+ (2 goals). Montrose: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Airdrieonians have won all 5 of their last matches, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 3, while Montrose have recorded 3 wins and 2 defeats with a 10:9 goal difference. The visitors sit higher in the table, in 3rd place compared with the hosts in 6th, and average 1.5 goals away from home, against Airdrieonians' 0.75 goals per home match. However, the quality of chances created favours the hosts: their home xG is 1.11, while Montrose average 0.87 xG away and allow opponents chances worth 1.91 xG. Airdrieonians have kept a clean sheet in half of their home matches, but have won only 25% of them and drawn half, so their advantage is not decisive. Their winning streak and favourable comparison in chance quality give the hosts a slight edge, despite Montrose's greater scoring output away from home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 60% of Airdrieonians’ games and 100% of Montrose’s, which points towards BTTS - Yes. The hosts averaged 3.4 goals scored over this period, while the visitors conceded 1.8, so Airdrieonians look well placed to get on the scoresheet. Montrose averaged 2.0 goals scored in their last five outings, although Airdrieonians conceded just 0.6 goals, which is the main risk to this prediction. Over the season, both teams have had goals scored by both sides in 50% of their matches, so the edge for BTTS - Yes is moderate rather than decisive.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In the seasonal statistics considered, both teams’ matches went Over 1.5 goals in 100% of cases, making this the strongest-backed line. Airdrieonians averaged 1.75 goals scored, while Montrose conceded 1.5, giving the hosts a solid basis to contribute a significant share of the projected 3.1 goals. In their last five matches, the hosts scored 17 goals, while the visitors conceded 9; their latest xG figures also stand at 1.87 and 1.53 xG conceded by Montrose, respectively. Over 2.5 goals also looks promising, but there is greater reason for caution with the Over 3.5 line: only 25% of the Airdrieonians matches included in the analysis went Over, and none of Montrose’s did. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the safest pick, although it does not guarantee a result.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Airdrieonians leading at the break and going on to win: the hosts have won their last five matches and were ahead at half-time in four of them. Over that period, they averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded before the break; Montrose averaged 1.0 scored and 0.4 conceded, so they too can make a strong start. The hosts’ form after half-time also supports them holding on to their advantage: they averaged 1.6 goals in the second half, while the visitors conceded 1.4 and have not won a second half in any of their last five matches. The difference in full-time results is also clear: Airdrieonians have taken all 15 points from their last five matches, compared with Montrose’s nine. The 1/1 HT/FT pick remains the most likely outcome, although the visitors’ strong starts—they led at the break in three of their last five matches—make the prediction less certain.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Airdrieonians | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Montrose is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 3 pts / match - Montrose
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montrose is 117% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Airdrieonians · 1.63 goals / match - Montrose
Airdrieonians is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Airdrieonians · 1.63 goals / match - Montrose
Airdrieonians scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Montrose scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Airdrieonians keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Airdrieonians
Over / Under - Montrose
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montrose is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Airdrieonians · 2 pts / match - Montrose
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Airdrieonians - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Airdrieonians
Montrose
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Airdrieonians | Liga | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Airdrieonians vs Montrose?
The League One match finished Airdrieonians 1:0 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Airdrieonians vs Montrose?
Airdrieonians score 0.75 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.63. The League One average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Airdrieonians's matches and 50% of Montrose's.
What form are Airdrieonians and Montrose in?
Over the last 5 games Airdrieonians have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Montrose 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Airdrieonians vs Montrose?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Airdrieonians vs Montrose: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.