Ajax vs PSV: match statistics
Ajax vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ajax played PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ajax: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. PSV: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ajax scores 2.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. PSV scores 3.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 4.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ajax 33%, PSV 100%. Over 2.5: Ajax 67%, PSV 100%. League level: BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 83%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.77 vs 2.18. Ajax: 20.3 shots per match, PSV: 23.8.
Match halves
Ajax: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.67. PSV: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 2.25.
Goals by minute
Ajax: 76-90+ (3 goals). PSV: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 4.03 goals per match, BTTS 77%, Over 2.5 83%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV sit in 2nd place, remain unbeaten after 4 matchweeks, and have already scored 15 goals, while Ajax have netted 8 goals in 3 matches. Away from home, PSV have won every game, averaging 4 goals, 11 shots on target, and an xG of 2.81; Ajax average 2 goals and an xG of 2.21 at home. The visitors are also significantly more solid without the ball: they allow opponents an xG of 0.47 and concede an average of 1 goal away from home, compared with Ajax’s 1.73 xG conceded and 2 goals allowed at home. However, Ajax are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals during that run, and remain highly effective in front of goal, so the match should be open, with both sides having strong arguments to score. PSV’s edge in chance creation, shooting efficiency (16% versus 9%), and away results slightly favours an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes is strongly supported by the data: both Ajax and PSV have seen both teams score in 100% of their league matches so far, compared with a league average of 76%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, while Ajax averages 3.5 goals per match and PSV as many as 4.0. In their last five fixtures, each team has scored 3.4 and 3.0 goals respectively and conceded 1.8 goals per game, clearly increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Their creative potential is also exceptionally high, with average xG of 2.30 for Ajax and 2.54 for PSV, alongside 9.0 and 11.0 shots on target per match. A No Goal scenario for one of the teams is most likely due to PSV's very strong defensive record this season; however, their average of 1.8 goals conceded over the last five matches points towards the hosts finding the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
This is a clash between two exceptionally prolific attacks: Ajax average 3.5 goals, while PSV average 4.0 goals per match. In their last five matches, Ajax scored 17 goals and conceded 9, whereas PSV scored 15 and also conceded 9. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their matches to date, while goals were scored by both sides in 80% of their last five appearances. The creative potential remains very high, with average xG of 2.73 for Ajax and 2.81 for PSV, alongside a league average of as many as 4.03 goals per match. The strongest selection is Over 1.5, as even after a more cautious adjustment of the high attacking averages, the projected 4.20 goals clearly exceeds this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSV have won both of their two away matches to date, taking the lead before half-time in each case, while Ajax were ahead at the break in one of their two home fixtures. The visitors create slightly more high-quality chances, averaging 2.81 xG compared with Ajax’s 2.73, while also restricting opponents to just 0.47 xG, compared with 0.98 conceded by the hosts. PSV’s advantage is also evident in attacking intensity: they average 25 shots, including 11 on target, whereas Ajax average 22.5 shots and 9 on target. Ajax do, however, tend to make strong starts, leading at half-time in 80% of their last five matches compared with PSV’s 60%, so a home lead remains a realistic alternative scenario. The strongest HT/FT option is still an away lead and victory, as PSV combine very high attacking output with a noticeably tighter defence.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ajax | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 7% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Ajax · 2.5 pts / match - PSV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
2.67 goals / match - Ajax · 3.75 goals / match - PSV
Ajax is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ajax · 1.25 goals / match - PSV
Ajax scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
PSV scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ajax
Over / Under - PSV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ajax - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.25 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ajax
PSV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Ajax | Liga | PSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.33 | 4.03 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 67% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 97% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 2 - 0 PSV. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ajax vs PSV?
The Eredivisie match finished Ajax 1:3 PSV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and PSV?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, PSV won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs PSV?
Ajax score 2.67 goals per game on average and PSV 3.75. The Eredivisie average is 4.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 83% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ajax's matches and 100% of PSV's.
What form are Ajax and PSV in?
Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and PSV 3-1-0 (2.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs PSV?
The statistical background for Ajax vs PSV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.