Netherlands - EredivisieJohan Cruijff ArenaData current as of 02 September 2026

Ajax vs PSV: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ajax vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ajax play PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena.

Current form

Ajax: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. PSV: 3-1-0, 2.50 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ajax scores 2.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. PSV scores 3.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 4.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ajax 33%, PSV 100%. Over 2.5: Ajax 67%, PSV 100%. League level: BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 82%.

xG, shots and style

PSV has higher xG: 2.77 vs 2.18. Ajax: 20.3 shots per match, PSV: 23.8.

Match halves

Ajax: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.67. PSV: half-time lead 75%, second-half goals 2.25.

Goals by minute

Ajax: 76-90+ (3 goals). PSV: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 4.03 goals per match, BTTS 76%, Over 2.5 82%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.50)
(3.92)
(2.40)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.67Goals scored / match3.75
AjaxPSV
0.67Goals conceded / match1.25
AjaxPSV
60%Average possession66%
AjaxPSV
6.33Shots on target / match10
AjaxPSV

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

20.33Shots per match23.75
AjaxPSV
6.33Shots on target10
AjaxPSV
13.1%Shot conversion15.8%
AjaxPSV
60%Possession66%
AjaxPSV
2.18xG for2.77
AjaxPSV
1.26xG against0.73
AjaxPSV

Shooting quality

Ajax: DominantPSV: Dominant
AjaxPSV
Accuracy (shots on target)31%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.420.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PSV is 7% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Ajax · 2.5 pts / match - PSV

Ajax
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 at home
0-1-0
D
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.7Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.18Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%
PSV
DWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W25% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-0
2.50 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 away
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.8Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 2.77Opponent xG: 0.73BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PSV is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

2.67 goals / match - Ajax · 3.75 goals / match - PSV

Ajax is 87% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Ajax · 1.25 goals / match - PSV

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).

PSV scoring profile: strong

PSV scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

8Goals scored (season)15
AjaxPSV
2Goals conceded (season)5
AjaxPSV
3.33Average goals in match5
AjaxPSV
8Goals scored (last 5)15
AjaxPSV
2Goals conceded (last 5)5
AjaxPSV

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
AjaxPSV
100%2 goals100%
AjaxPSV
33%3 goals50%
AjaxPSV
33%4 goals50%
AjaxPSV

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
AjaxPSV
33%2 goals25%
AjaxPSV
0%3 goals0%
AjaxPSV
0%4 goals0%
AjaxPSV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time50%
AjaxPSV
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AjaxPSV
33%Scored in both halves75%
AjaxPSV

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
AjaxPSV
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
AjaxPSV
33%BTTS - last 5100%
AjaxPSV

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
AjaxPSV
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
AjaxPSV
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
AjaxPSV

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
AjaxPSV
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
AjaxPSV
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
AjaxPSV

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ajax - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing
PSV - half-time state
75% leading0% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.33Points per match (1st half)2.25
AjaxPSV
1Goals scored (1st half)1.5
AjaxPSV
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.75
AjaxPSV
1.33Average goals (1st half)2.25
AjaxPSV
67%Clean sheet before half-time25%
AjaxPSV
33%No goal before half-time25%
AjaxPSV

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2.5
AjaxPSV
1.67Goals scored (2nd half)2.25
AjaxPSV
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
AjaxPSV
2Average goals (2nd half)2.75
AjaxPSV
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
AjaxPSV
33%No goal after half-time0%
AjaxPSV

Ajax - second-half results

67% W0% R33% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

PSV - second-half results

75% W25% R0% P
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 75% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.332.00
Goals scored / match1.01.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match1.32.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals33%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 0% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3
PSV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.252.50
Goals scored / match1.52.3
Goals conceded / match0.80.5
Average goals in match2.32.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%100%
3 goals50%50%
Clean sheet25%50%
No goal25%0%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 75% leading - 0% draw - 25% trailing
2nd half: 75% won - 25% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 50% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

PSV
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
4
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 2.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
157%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
29%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

PSV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+2.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.98
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
74%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

AjaxLigaPSV
Average goals in match 3.334.03 5.00
Both teams scored 33%76% 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%82% 100%
Clean sheets 67%12% 0%
Goal before half-time 67%82% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%97% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

4.03
Average goals per match
76%
Both teams scored
82%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
12%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
2.33
Away goals / match
+-27%
Home attack advantage
+-37%
Home defence advantage
+-22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
97%
1 goal
79%
2 goals
42%
3 goals
18%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ajax 0 - 2 - 0 PSV. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

AFC Ajax
2 : 2
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
2 : 2
AFC Ajax

FAQ

When do Ajax and PSV play?

Ajax face PSV on 5 September 2026 in Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and PSV?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ajax won 0, PSV won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ajax vs PSV?

Ajax score 2.67 goals per game on average and PSV 3.75. The Eredivisie average is 4.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 82% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Ajax's matches and 100% of PSV's.

What form are Ajax and PSV in?

Over the last 5 games Ajax have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and PSV 3-1-0 (2.50 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ajax vs PSV?

The statistical background for Ajax vs PSV — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.