Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: match statistics
Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahed play Al Nejmeh in Lebanese Premier League (Lebanon). The match date is 16 July 2026 at 16:30. Venue: Sour Stadium. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Al Ahed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Al Nejmeh: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahed scores 1.54 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Al Nejmeh scores 1.85 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahed 38%, Al Nejmeh 37%. Over 2.5: Al Ahed 50%, Al Nejmeh 48%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nejmeh has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.32. Al Ahed: 9.4 shots per match, Al Nejmeh: 7.7.
Match halves
Al Ahed: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.85. Al Nejmeh: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Al Ahed: 61-75 (9 goals). Al Nejmeh: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Lebanese Premier League: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The visitors, Al Nejmeh, are the clear favorites: this season they have 14 wins, 6 draws and only 3 losses with a goal difference of 44–12 compared to Al Ahed’s 37–25. In their last 5 matches Nejmeh scored 9 goals and conceded none, while Al Ahed scored 13 but conceded 9, which highlights the visitors’ defensive superiority. Quality of chances metrics are similar — average xG is 1.32 for Nejmeh away and 1.29 for Al Ahed at home — however the visitors average 10 shots per game with 55% possession versus 8.6 shots and 50% possession for the hosts. Al Ahed have an efficiency edge (19% conversion at home vs 15% for the visitors) and a 60% win rate at their stadium plus 50% clean sheets, but their poorer recent defence (9 conceded in 5 matches) is decisive. Considering the visitors’ better recent points run (2.6 points per game in the last 5 vs 2.0 for the hosts) and lower goals conceded over the season, I forecast an Al Nejmeh victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahed | Al Nejmeh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nejmeh is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Al Ahed · 2.2 pts / match - Al Nejmeh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nejmeh is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Al Ahed · 1.85 goals / match - Al Nejmeh
Al Nejmeh is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Al Ahed · 0.56 goals / match - Al Nejmeh
Al Ahed scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Al Nejmeh keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).
Al Nejmeh scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Al Ahed keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Al Ahed
Over / Under — Al Nejmeh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nejmeh is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Al Ahed · 1.81 pts / match - Al Nejmeh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Nejmeh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahed
Al Nejmeh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Lebanese Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahed | Liga | Al Nejmeh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.77 | 2.44 | • 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▲ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 39% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Ahed 0 - 0 - 2 Al Nejmeh. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
The Lebanese Premier League match finished Al Ahed 0:2 Al Nejmeh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Ahed and Al Nejmeh?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Ahed won 0, Al Nejmeh won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Al Ahed score 1.54 goals per game on average and Al Nejmeh 1.85. The Lebanese Premier League average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Al Ahed's matches and 37% of Al Nejmeh's.
What form are Al Ahed and Al Nejmeh in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahed have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Al Nejmeh 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Ahed vs Al Nejmeh: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.