Al Ahly vs Masr: match statistics
Al Ahly displays significantly better form and home statistics, sitting in 4th place with an impressive 78% home win record. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last five overall, conceding zero goals during this period, which testifies to a solid defense. Masr finds itself down in 9th position with clearly weaker away statistics – just 33% wins on the road and 1.2 points per match in the last five games. The difference in xG quality (1.77 for Al Ahly vs 1.25 for Masr) and advantage in possession (61% vs 53%) further argue for the hosts. Al Ahly scores an average of 1.67 goals in home matches with an 11% conversion rate, while Masr scores only 1.11 goals away, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
Al Ahly vs Masr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ahly played Masr in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Al Ahly: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Masr: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ahly scores 1.65 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Masr scores 1.00 and concedes 0.83. League average: 1.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ahly 59%, Masr 50%. Over 2.5: Al Ahly 41%, Masr 28%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahly has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.29. Al Ahly: 15.9 shots per match, Masr: 10.8.
Match halves
Al Ahly: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 0.76. Masr: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Al Ahly: 31-45+ (7 goals). Masr: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Egyptian Premier League: 1.99 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ahly displays significantly better form and home statistics, sitting in 4th place with an impressive 78% home win record. The hosts have earned 2.2 points per match in their last five overall, conceding zero goals during this period, which testifies to a solid defense. Masr finds itself down in 9th position with clearly weaker away statistics – just 33% wins on the road and 1.2 points per match in the last five games. The difference in xG quality (1.77 for Al Ahly vs 1.25 for Masr) and advantage in possession (61% vs 53%) further argue for the hosts. Al Ahly scores an average of 1.67 goals in home matches with an 11% conversion rate, while Masr scores only 1.11 goals away, making a home victory the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ahly | Masr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahly is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.6 pts / match - Masr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahly is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Al Ahly · 1 goals / match - Masr
Masr is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Al Ahly · 0.83 goals / match - Masr
Al Ahly scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Masr keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Masr scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Al Ahly keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ahly
Over / Under - Masr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ahly is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.94 pts / match - Al Ahly · 1.33 pts / match - Masr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ahly - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Masr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ahly
Masr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Al Ahly | Liga | Masr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.53 | 1.99 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 33% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 57% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ahly vs Masr?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Al Ahly 1:1 Masr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ahly vs Masr?
Al Ahly score 1.65 goals per game on average and Masr 1.00. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Al Ahly's matches and 50% of Masr's.
What form are Al Ahly and Masr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ahly have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Masr 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ahly vs Masr?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.