Al Ansar vs Al Hikma: match statistics

Al Ansar have won all of their last 5 matches, while Al Hikma have won just once and suffered 4 defeats. The hosts scored 10 goals during this period, averaging 2 per match, compared with just 3 for the visitors, or 0.6 per game. The defensive gap is also clear: Al Ansar conceded 3 goals in five matches, compared with 7 by Al Hikma. The teams are adjacent in the table, in 3rd and 4th place, but recent results clearly favor the hosts. The available data on scoring chances and home and away performances do not allow for a reliable comparison, so the prediction is based primarily on the last five matches.

In their last 5 matches, Al Hikma scored an average of just 0.6 goals, while Al Ansar conceded an average of 0.6, limiting the visitors’ chances of finding the net. BTTS landed in 20% of Al Hikma’s last 5 matches, compared with 60% for Al Ansar, so the signals from the two teams are mixed. The difference in attacking strength is reflected in xG: Al Ansar averaged 1.79 versus 0.99 for Al Hikma, while the visitors conceded 7 goals over this period compared with 3 by the hosts. The more likely scenario, therefore, is that Al Ansar score while Al Hikma fail to find the net; a BTTS - No pick does not require a goalless draw.

In their last 5 matches, Al Ansar averaged 2.0 goals scored, while Al Hikma conceded 1.4, pointing to a clear goalscoring edge for the home side. At the same time, the visitors scored just 0.6 goals per match, while the hosts conceded 0.6, so Al Hikma may make only a limited contribution to the scoreline. The xG figures support this: Al Ansar averaged 1.79 compared with Al Hikma’s 0.99, while the home defence allowed chances worth just 0.77 xG per match. Although at least 3 goals were scored in 3 of Al Ansar’s last 5 matches, this happened only once in Al Hikma’s matches. With a projected total of 2.35 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick. Older season statistics are zero-valued, so the forecast is based primarily on the last five matches and should be treated with caution.

Al Ansar have won their last five matches, scoring an average of 2 goals, while Al Hikma have won only 1 of their last 5 games, averaging 0.6 goals. A draw at half-time is more likely than the home side taking an early lead: Al Hikma were level at the break in 67% of the matches considered and did not lead at half-time in any of them, while Al Ansar led at the break in 33%. The strongest difference emerges after half-time, when Al Ansar scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded none, whereas Al Hikma failed to score and conceded an average of 1 goal. This points to an X/1 scenario, although Al Ansar leading at the break also remains a realistic possibility. Full-season data is zero, so the assessment is based primarily on the available results from recent matches.