Al Fateh vs Al Ittifaq: match statistics

Al Ittifaq sit 4th in the table, while Al Fateh occupy 18th place, which clearly points to an advantage for the visitors from the outset. The hosts lost their only match of the season 0:3 and have scored just 2 goals in their last five games, suffering 3 defeats. Al Ittifaq won their only league fixture, scoring 4 goals, and have recorded an impressive 11 goals with 6 conceded in their last five matches. The visitors averaged 1.6 points per game across their last five appearances, compared with 0.8 for Al Fateh, while their record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat looks more stable. Al Fateh's poor finishing and the difference in current goalscoring output support an Al Ittifaq win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome given the limited sample size of season data.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from Al Fateh’s recent form: the team has scored just 2 goals in 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, while BTTS - Yes landed in none of those five fixtures. Al Ittifaq possess significantly greater attacking potential, having scored 11 goals and averaged 1.94 xG over their last 5 league matches, so the most likely scenario is for the visitors to find the net. However, the hosts have created just 0.97 xG per match, while their opponents have conceded an average of 1.2 goals and allowed 1.39 xG, giving Al Fateh a fair, though not dominant, chance of breaking through. Despite the league BTTS average standing at 67%, the hosts’ poor finishing and their run without a Goal/Goal result more strongly support a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

Al Fateh’s latest form is clearly weak in attack: the team has scored just 2 goals in its last 5 matches, averaging 0.4 per game, with an xG of 0.97. Al Ittifaq offer greater attacking potential, scoring 11 goals during this period and generating 1.94 xG per match, but Al Fateh concede an average of 1.4 goals, limiting the visitors’ projection to around two goals. Al Fateh matches have gone Over 2.5 goals in only 40% of their last five outings, while the figure for Al Ittifaq stands at 60%, meaning the data does not provide a clear signal for a very high-scoring game. The projected 2.70 goals is below the league average of 3.11, while just a 30% chance of at least four goals gives an edge to the Under 3.5 goals bet. Even with Al Ittifaq’s attacking advantage, the hosts’ poor finishing increases the risk of results such as 0:2, 1:1 or 1:2.

Al Ittifaq are showing clearly superior current form: they have averaged 2.2 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.4 for Al Fateh. The visitors won 40% of those games and lost only 20%, while the hosts suffered defeat in 60% of their matches. Al Ittifaq led at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, compared with just 20% for Al Fateh, and their half-time goal difference stood at +1 versus -3 for the hosts. The gap remains evident after the interval, with the visitors scoring an average of 1.4 goals, while Al Fateh manage only 0.2. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome of 1/1, with Al Ittifaq taking the lead before half-time and maintaining it until the final whistle.