Al Fateh vs Al Nassr: match statistics
Al Nassr displays significantly better form and class, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team is in excellent shape, winning all of their last 5 matches without conceding a single goal. Al Fateh sits in 10th position, has not won any of their last 5 games, and shows a weak defense, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match at home. The xG statistics clearly favor Al Nassr (2.08 vs 1.52), and their 70% away win rate with 60% possession indicates dominance. Considering the quality advantage, form, and goal difference (+13 vs -2), Al Nassr is the clear favorite for this match.
Al Fateh vs Al Nassr: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Fateh played Al Nassr in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Al Fateh: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Al Nassr: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Fateh scores 1.30 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Al Nassr scores 2.55 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Fateh 70%, Al Nassr 55%. Over 2.5: Al Fateh 50%, Al Nassr 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Al Nassr has higher xG: 2.14 vs 1.36. Al Fateh: 11.8 shots per match, Al Nassr: 18.7.
Match halves
Al Fateh: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. Al Nassr: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Al Fateh: 31-45+ (7 goals). Al Nassr: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Nassr displays significantly better form and class, holding 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 16 wins this season. The visiting team is in excellent shape, winning all of their last 5 matches without conceding a single goal. Al Fateh sits in 10th position, has not won any of their last 5 games, and shows a weak defense, conceding an average of 1.9 goals per match at home. The xG statistics clearly favor Al Nassr (2.08 vs 1.52), and their 70% away win rate with 60% possession indicates dominance. Considering the quality advantage, form, and goal difference (+13 vs -2), Al Nassr is the clear favorite for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Fateh | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Nassr is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Al Fateh · 3 pts / match - Al Nassr
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Nassr is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Al Fateh · 2.55 goals / match - Al Nassr
Al Nassr is 94% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Al Fateh · 0.9 goals / match - Al Nassr
Al Fateh scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Al Nassr keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Al Nassr scores in 100% of matches (20 of 20 matches), while Al Fateh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Fateh
Over / Under - Al Nassr
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Nassr is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Al Fateh · 2.15 pts / match - Al Nassr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Fateh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Nassr - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Fateh
Al Nassr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Fateh | Liga | Al Nassr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 70% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 24% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Fateh 0 - 0 - 1 Al Nassr. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
The Professional League match finished Al Fateh 0:2 Al Nassr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Al Fateh score 1.30 goals per game on average and Al Nassr 2.55. The Professional League average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 70% of Al Fateh's matches and 55% of Al Nassr's.
What form are Al Fateh and Al Nassr in?
Over the last 5 games Al Fateh have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Nassr 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
The statistical background for Al Fateh vs Al Nassr — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.