Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: match statistics
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Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Gharafa play Al Ahli in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 22 October 2026. Venue: Thani Bin Jassim Stadium.
Current form
Al Gharafa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Al Ahli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Gharafa scores 1.20 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Gharafa 80%, Al Ahli 33%. Over 2.5: Al Gharafa 80%, Al Ahli 83%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Al Ahli has higher xG: 2.09 vs 2.06. Al Gharafa: 18.8 shots per match, Al Ahli: 17.0.
Match halves
Al Gharafa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Al Ahli: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Al Gharafa: 46-60 (2 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.47 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Gharafa | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 1.4 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ahli is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 1.67 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Al Gharafa · 2 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Gharafa scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
Over / Under - Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Gharafa is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.8 pts / match - Al Gharafa · 0.67 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Gharafa
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Gharafa | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.40 | 3.47 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 56% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▲ 83% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Gharafa 1 - 0 - 1 Al Ahli. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Al Gharafa and Al Ahli play?
Al Gharafa face Al Ahli on 22 October 2026 in Stars League at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Gharafa and Al Ahli?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Gharafa won 1, Al Ahli won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
Al Gharafa score 1.20 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.67. The Stars League average is 3.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Al Gharafa's matches and 33% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Al Gharafa and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Al Gharafa have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Ahli 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.