Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad: match statistics
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Hilal played Al Ittihad in Professional League (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Kingdom Arena. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Al Hilal: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Al Ittihad: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Hilal scores 3.29 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Al Ittihad scores 1.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Hilal 29%, Al Ittihad 71%. Over 2.5: Al Hilal 71%, Al Ittihad 57%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Al Hilal has higher xG: 2.20 vs 1.68. Al Hilal: 20.0 shots per match, Al Ittihad: 15.3.
Match halves
Al Hilal: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.29. Al Ittihad: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Al Hilal: 16-30 (6 goals). Al Ittihad: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Professional League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Hilal have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals in the process, while Al Ittihad have recorded 3 wins and scored 8 goals. At home, the hosts average 2.33 goals from 16 shots per match, while the visitors score 1.33 goals from 13.67 shots per game away from home. Al Hilal’s edge in chance creation is reflected in their home xG of 1.82, compared with Al Ittihad’s away xG of 1.56. The visitors remain unbeaten this season and concede only 0.33 goals per away match, although their opponents create chances against them worth an average xG of 2.13. This points to a closely contested match, but the hosts’ greater finishing efficiency and the quality of their chances favour an Al Hilal win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Al Hilal average 2.0 goals at home, and both teams scored in 100% of their home matches, strongly pointing to the hosts finding the net. Al Ittihad average 1.33 goals away from home, with an average xG of 1.56 compared with the 1.45 xG Al Hilal concede at home, so the visitors also have a strong case to score. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of Al Ittihad’s games, and they averaged 1.6 goals. Caution is warranted, however, as Al Hilal conceded just 0.6 goals per match over this period, while Al Ittihad failed to score in 33% of their away matches. The balance of chances between the two attacks gives a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Al Hilal average 2,0 goals per match this season, rising to 2,6 over their last five games; every analyzed home match featured at least two goals. Al Ittihad have conceded just 0,33 goals per match, but allow opponents chances worth an average of 2,13 xG, suggesting their defensive record so far may be difficult to sustain. The visitors average 1,33 goals scored, with an average xG of 1,56, so they could also get on the scoresheet. A forecast of 2,90 goals favors Over 1.5 goals, while the 2.5 line is less certain given that only 33% of Al Ittihad’s analyzed matches finished with at least three goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely outcome is a draw at half-time and an Al Hilal win at full-time. Al Ittihad have not conceded in the first half in any of their three matches so far, and they went into the break level in three of their last five games, pointing to a closely contested start. However, Al Hilal have the stronger attacking threat: they average 2.0 goals per match compared with their opponents’ 1.33 and take 16.5 shots per game versus 13.67. Across their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 1.4 goals after the break, while the visitors have conceded 0.4 goals in the second half and have won that half only once. Al Ittihad’s strong defence warrants caution, but the hosts’ attacking advantage gives them the best chance of breaking the deadlock after the break and completing the HT/FT turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Hilal | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ittihad is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Al Hilal · 2.6 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Hilal is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
3.29 goals / match - Al Hilal · 1.71 goals / match - Al Ittihad
Al Hilal is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Al Hilal · 0.86 goals / match - Al Ittihad
Al Hilal scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Al Ittihad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Al Ittihad scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Al Hilal keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Hilal
Over / Under - Al Ittihad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ittihad is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / match - Al Hilal · 2.43 pts / match - Al Ittihad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Hilal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Al Ittihad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Hilal
Al Ittihad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Professional League).
Teams vs league
| Al Hilal | Liga | Al Ittihad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 49% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 68% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Hilal 1 - 1 - 0 Al Ittihad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
The Professional League match finished Al Hilal 3:2 Al Ittihad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Hilal and Al Ittihad?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Hilal won 1, Al Ittihad won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
Al Hilal score 3.29 goals per game on average and Al Ittihad 1.71. The Professional League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Al Hilal's matches and 71% of Al Ittihad's.
What form are Al Hilal and Al Ittihad in?
Over the last 5 games Al Hilal have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Al Ittihad 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


