Saudi Arabia - First DivisionData current as of 21 July 2026

Al Raed vs Abha: match statistics

Al Raed crest
Al Raed
5 : 1half-time 3:1
Abha crest
Abha

Al Raed vs Abha: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Al Raed play Abha in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 16:50. Final score: 5:1.

Current form

Al Raed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Abha: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Al Raed scores 1.88 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Abha scores 1.94 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Al Raed 68%, Abha 62%. Over 2.5: Al Raed 59%, Abha 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Abha has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.61. Al Raed: 13.4 shots per match, Abha: 13.7.

Match halves

Al Raed: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.03. Abha: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.12.

Goals by minute

Al Raed: 76-90+ (17 goals). Abha: 46-60 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First Division: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Abha is the clear favorite on paper: they have 25 wins, 5 draws and only 3 losses this season compared to Al Raed's 13–10–10, and sit 1st in the table while Al Raed are 7th. The visitors have a noticeably better defense – conceding 0.81 goals per away match versus 1.25 conceded by the hosts at home, and clean sheet rate 31% vs 19% confirms that edge. Recent form over the last five matches also favors them: Abha averages 1.8 points per game with 6 scored and 5 conceded in the last 5, while Al Raed average just 0.8 points per game with a 7–8 goal record. In attack xG and shot metrics are similar (home xG 1.57 and on average 2.0 goals for Al Raed vs away xG 1.52 and 1.94 goals for Abha; average shots ~13.4 vs 13.7 and shots on target 4.88 vs 4.81), however Abha fails to score less often (FTS 6% vs 13%) and have better defensive conversion, giving them an edge with similar chance volumes. Therefore I forecast an away win (2) at 62% probability, draw 23% and home win 15%.

Half-by-half

3 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Al RaedAbha
20Shots17
Al RaedAbha
7Shots on target6
Al RaedAbha
2.19xG1.89
Al RaedAbha
5Corners4
Al RaedAbha
62Dangerous attacks55
Al RaedAbha
9Fouls6
Al RaedAbha
2Cards0
Al RaedAbha

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.88Goals scored / match1.94
Al RaedAbha
1.35Goals conceded / match0.94
Al RaedAbha
53%Average possession55%
Al RaedAbha
4.94Shots on target / match5.09
Al RaedAbha

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.38Shots per match13.71
Al RaedAbha
4.94Shots on target5.09
Al RaedAbha
14.1%Shot conversion14.2%
Al RaedAbha
53%Possession55%
Al RaedAbha
1.61xG for1.68
Al RaedAbha
1.18xG against1.14
Al RaedAbha

Shooting quality

Al Raed: Efficient finishingAbha: Efficient finishing
Al RaedAbha
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.38

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Al Raed is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Al Raed · 1.2 pts / match - Abha

Al Raed
WLLDW
Season result split
41% W29% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-10-10
1.53 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-4-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Abha
WWLLL
Season result split
74% W15% R12% P
Season (W-D-L)
25-5-4
2.35 pts / match · goal difference +34
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
13-2-2
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Abha is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.35 goals / match - Al Raed · 0.94 goals / match - Abha

Al Raed scoring profile: very strong

Al Raed scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Abha keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

Abha scoring profile: very strong

Abha scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

64Goals scored (season)66
Al RaedAbha
46Goals conceded (season)32
Al RaedAbha
3.24Average goals in match2.88
Al RaedAbha
12Goals scored (last 5)6
Al RaedAbha
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
Al RaedAbha

How often they score at least...

85%1 goal91%
Al RaedAbha
53%2 goals74%
Al RaedAbha
26%3 goals26%
Al RaedAbha
15%4 goals3%
Al RaedAbha

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal68%
Al RaedAbha
38%2 goals15%
Al RaedAbha
12%3 goals6%
Al RaedAbha
6%4 goals3%
Al RaedAbha

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time21%
Al RaedAbha
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Al RaedAbha
32%Scored in both halves56%
Al RaedAbha

BTTS and goal count

56%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Al RaedAbha
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Al RaedAbha
100%BTTS - last 560%
Al RaedAbha

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
Al RaedAbha
41%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Al RaedAbha
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Al RaedAbha

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Al RaedAbha
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Al RaedAbha
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Al RaedAbha

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Abha is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Al Raed · 1.88 pts / match - Abha

Al Raed - half-time state
44% leading26% draw29% trailing
Abha - half-time state
53% leading29% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.88
Al RaedAbha
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.82
Al RaedAbha
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Al RaedAbha
1.5Average goals (1st half)1.24
Al RaedAbha
53%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Al RaedAbha
44%No goal before half-time29%
Al RaedAbha

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)2.06
Al RaedAbha
1.03Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
Al RaedAbha
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
Al RaedAbha
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.65
Al RaedAbha
50%Clean sheet after half-time59%
Al RaedAbha
38%No goal after half-time24%
Al RaedAbha

Al Raed - second-half results

41% W29% R29% P
54
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding93%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abha - second-half results

62% W21% R18% P
64
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
70
Second-half points
+20
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Al Raed - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.00
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+5-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 8
Abha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Al Raed
ScoredConceded
7
3
0-15
7
8
16-30
15
11
31-45
8
6
46-60
10
6
61-75
17
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Abha
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
10
3
16-30
10
7
31-45
14
5
46-60
13
4
61-75
11
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.05
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Al Raed

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Abha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).

Teams vs league

Al RaedLigaAbha
Average goals in match 3.242.96 2.88
Both teams scored 68%62% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%61% 59%
Clean sheets 24%22% 32%
Goal before half-time 82%76% 85%
Goal after half-time 82%85% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Al Raed 0 - 0 - 1 Abha. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Al Raed vs Abha?

The First Division match finished Al Raed 5:1 Abha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Al Raed vs Abha?

Al Raed score 1.88 goals per game on average and Abha 1.94. The First Division average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Al Raed's matches and 62% of Abha's.

What form are Al Raed and Abha in?

Over the last 5 games Al Raed have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Abha 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Raed vs Abha?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Raed vs Abha: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.