Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Rayyan play Al Gharafa in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Thani Bin Jassim Stadium.
Current form
Al Rayyan: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Al Gharafa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Rayyan scores 2.00 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Al Gharafa scores 1.20 and concedes 2.20. League average: 3.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Rayyan 40%, Al Gharafa 80%. Over 2.5: Al Rayyan 60%, Al Gharafa 80%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Al Gharafa has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.60. Al Rayyan: 13.8 shots per match, Al Gharafa: 18.8.
Match halves
Al Rayyan: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.60. Al Gharafa: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Al Rayyan: 16-30 (3 goals). Al Gharafa: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.50 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Rayyan | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Rayyan is 225% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 0.8 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Rayyan is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 1.2 goals / match - Al Gharafa
Al Rayyan is 450% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.4 goals / match - Al Rayyan · 2.2 goals / match - Al Gharafa
Al Rayyan scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Al Gharafa scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Al Rayyan keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Rayyan
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Rayyan is 275% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
3 pts / match - Al Rayyan · 0.8 pts / match - Al Gharafa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Rayyan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 80%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Rayyan
Al Gharafa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Al Rayyan | Liga | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 3.50 | ▼ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 87% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Al Rayyan 0 - 0 - 2 Al Gharafa. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa play?
Al Rayyan face Al Gharafa on 18 October 2026 in Stars League at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Al Rayyan won 0, Al Gharafa won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?
Al Rayyan score 2.00 goals per game on average and Al Gharafa 1.20. The Stars League average is 3.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Al Rayyan's matches and 80% of Al Gharafa's.
What form are Al Rayyan and Al Gharafa in?
Over the last 5 games Al Rayyan have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Al Gharafa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Al Rayyan vs Al Gharafa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.