Al Ula vs Al Raed: match statistics
Al Ula vs Al Raed: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Al Ula played Al Raed in First Division (Saudi Arabia). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Al Ula: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Al Raed: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Al Ula scores 2.16 and concedes 0.87 goals per match. Al Raed scores 1.81 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Al Ula 61%, Al Raed 65%. Over 2.5: Al Ula 68%, Al Raed 55%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Al Raed has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.60. Al Ula: 13.8 shots per match, Al Raed: 13.3.
Match halves
Al Ula: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.90. Al Raed: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Al Ula: 31-45+ (23 goals). Al Raed: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Al Ula holds a clear offensive and overall advantage: they have scored 67 goals this season and average 2.27 goals per home match with an average xG of 1.74, while Al Raed have 56 goals this season and average 1.6 goals away with xG 1.68. Defensively the hosts also look stronger – Al Ula concede 0.8 goals per home match on average (xG against 0.99), whereas Al Raed concede 1.4 goals on the road (xG against 1.25), reflected in goal difference: +22 for Al Ula at home versus +3 for Al Raed away. Al Ula also generates more quality chances: on average 15.4 shots and 6.13 on target at home with a 15% conversion rate, while the visitors average 13.33 shots and 5.13 on target with a 12% conversion. The hosts fail to score in only 7% of home games, compared to Al Raed’s 20% rate of being held scoreless away. In form over the last 5 matches Al Ula have 9 goals and average 2 points per game, Al Raed 8 goals and 1.4 points per game; additionally the hosts win 60% of home matches versus 33% away wins for the visitors. Based on this, I project a home win as the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because signals from both teams are clear: Al Ula has a seasonal BTTS rate of 75% (last 5 matches 80%), Al Raed has a seasonal BTTS 53% (last 5 matches 60%), and the league BTTS level is 63%. Goal statistics support this direction: Al Ula scores 2.0 and concedes 1.25 per match, Al Raed scores 1.6 and concedes 1.4; in the last 5 matches Al Ula scored 9 and conceded 5, while Al Raed scored 8 and conceded 6. xG values show similar attacking strength and defensive vulnerability: average xG 1.57 for Al Ula and 1.68 for Al Raed, with xG against 1.10 (Al Ula) and 1.25 (Al Raed), suggesting chances created from both sides. Additionally, Al Ula has only 19% clean sheets versus 33% for Al Raed, the home side has 63% of matches over 2.5 goals, and the over2.5 + BTTS combination for Al Ula is 56%, which increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Considering the specific numbers (75% vs 53%, last 5: 80% vs 60%, league 63%, xG and goals averages), I assess BTTS - Yes at 72% and No at 28% as the most justified prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects total expected goals of 2.80: Al Ula 1.41 (attacking xG 1.57 vs away defense 1.25) and Al Raed 1.39 (attacking xG 1.68 vs home defense 1.10). Seasonally Al Ula records Over 1.5 in 81% of matches, Al Raed in 73% (avg ~77%), and BTTS is 75% for home teams and 53% for away teams (league 63%), therefore I assign a high probability for Over 1.5 = 82%. On the 2.5 line seasonal rates are 63% (Al Ula) vs 47% (Al Raed) i.e. average 55%, but in the last 5 matches the teams have scored 9 and 8 goals respectively (1.8 and 1.6 per match), which raises the assessment for Over 2.5 to about 62%. For the 3.5 line seasonal values are 38% and 33% (avg ~36%), and the goals conceded balance 27 (Al Ula) vs 41 (Al Raed) indicates risk of higher scores, but not enough to favor Over 3.5 (Under 64%). In summary, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 due to expected xG 2.80, high Over 1.5 shares (81%/73%) and strong BTTS indicators, hence I recommend the Over on 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1), because Al Ula has a clear advantage in the second half: they score an average of 1.31 goals after the break versus Al Raed’s 0.73 and have a positive second-half goal difference of +11 compared to Al Raed’s -1. The first half is more balanced — Al Ula led at the break in 44% of matches, Al Raed in 40%, and half-time draws occur in 25% (home) and 33% (away) respectively, which favors tight 45 minutes and draw scores at the break. Additionally, Al Ula scores most frequently after the 75th minute (10 goals in minutes 76–90) and have 88% of matches with over 0.5 goals in the second half versus 73% for Al Raed, demonstrating the ability to produce a turnaround after the break. Although match xG is similar (Al Ula 1.57 vs Al Raed 1.68), the home side’s better shot conversion rate of 15% versus 12% and higher average home points (1.75 vs 1.33) support an Al Ula win by full-time, hence X/1 as the strongest single signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Al Ula | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ula is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Al Ula · 1.4 pts / match - Al Raed
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Ula is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
2.16 goals / match - Al Ula · 1.81 goals / match - Al Raed
Al Ula is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.87 goals / match - Al Ula · 1.32 goals / match - Al Raed
Al Ula scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Al Raed keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Al Raed scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while Al Ula keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Al Ula
Over / Under - Al Raed
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Al Ula is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.19 pts / match - Al Ula · 1.55 pts / match - Al Raed
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Al Ula - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Raed - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (23 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Al Ula
Al Raed
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Al Ula | Liga | Al Raed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 21% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 85% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Al Ula 0 - 0 - 1 Al Raed. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Al Ula vs Al Raed?
The First Division match finished Al Ula 2:1 Al Raed. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Al Ula vs Al Raed?
Al Ula score 2.16 goals per game on average and Al Raed 1.81. The First Division average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Al Ula's matches and 65% of Al Raed's.
What form are Al Ula and Al Raed in?
Over the last 5 games Al Ula have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Al Raed 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Al Ula vs Al Raed?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.