Al Wahda vs Al Akhdoud: match statistics

Al Wahda remain unbeaten, but have drawn all 4 of their 4 league matches so far, with both home games ending level. The hosts create more chances on home soil — averaging 16.5 shots, 6 shots on target and an xG of 1.85 — but they also concede 1.5 goals per game, with opponents recording an xG of 1.46. Al Akhdoud sit higher in the table, in 4th place compared with Al Wahda’s 14th, and have collected 9 points from their last five matches, while the hosts have earned 7. The visitors defend very well away from home, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of such matches; however, they have failed to score in 33% of their away fixtures. The combination of both teams’ high number of draws, along with Al Wahda’s attacking advantage against Al Akhdoud’s solid defence, points most strongly towards a draw.

Al Akhdoud have very solid defensive numbers in the competition: they concede an average of just 0.33 goals per match and keep a clean sheet in 67% of their fixtures. The hosts have recorded BTTS - Yes in 100% of their matches so far, but this is a small sample, and their last five outings produced an average of only 1.2 goals scored. In their last five matches, the visitors conceded just 0.6 goals per game, despite Al Wahda generating a high 1.89 xG during that period. Al Akhdoud should create chances themselves, as Al Wahda have yet to keep a clean sheet and allow opponents 1.51 xG, but it is more likely that at least one side—primarily the hosts—will fail to score. Furthermore, the league BTTS rate is only 44%, reinforcing the cautious selection of BTTS - No. This means that at least one team will not score; it does not automatically imply a 0-0 draw or that neither team will score.

Al Wahda’s last five matches have produced an average of 2.2 goals, while Al Akhdoud’s matches have averaged just 2.0 goals, remaining close to the low league average of 2.03. Al Akhdoud conceded only 0.6 goals per match during this run and kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away appearances to date. Although the hosts have generated 1.89 xG across their last five matches, they have scored just 1.2 goals per game, while the visitors have conceded very few goals. Over 2.5 goals landed in only 40% of Al Wahda’s last five matches and 20% of Al Akhdoud’s games, making Under 3.5 goals the most reliable selection.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Al Akhdoud victory in the match, as the visitors have averaged 1.4 goals scored and only 0.6 conceded over their last five games, compared with Al Wahda’s averages of 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. The first halves of both teams’ matches are usually cautious: the hosts average 0.4 goals scored before the break, while the visitors average 0.8, with each side conceding just 0.2 goals. A half-time draw occurred in 40% of the teams’ last matches, while Al Akhdoud have not once gone into the break trailing. After the interval, the visitors have the better record, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, whereas Al Wahda concede an average of 0.8 goals. In addition, Al Akhdoud won 40% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Al Wahda, while the hosts recorded draws in as many as 80% of their games. This points to a balanced opening and a greater likelihood of the visitors settling the match in the closing stages.