Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Luis FranziniData current as of 01 September 2026

Albion vs Progreso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Albion vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Albion play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini.

Current form

Albion: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Progreso: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Albion scores 1.35 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.73 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Albion 58%, Progreso 38%. Over 2.5: Albion 54%, Progreso 38%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Albion has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.14. Albion: 9.2 shots per match, Progreso: 8.3.

Match halves

Albion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Progreso: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Albion: 31-45+ (8 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.35Goals scored / match0.73
AlbionProgreso
1.19Goals conceded / match1.46
AlbionProgreso
53%Average possession47%
AlbionProgreso
4Shots on target / match3.15
AlbionProgreso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.23Shots per match8.35
AlbionProgreso
4Shots on target3.15
AlbionProgreso
14.6%Shot conversion8.8%
AlbionProgreso
53%Possession47%
AlbionProgreso
1.21xG for1.14
AlbionProgreso
1.43xG against1.45
AlbionProgreso

Shooting quality

Albion: Efficient finishingProgreso: Balanced
AlbionProgreso
Accuracy (shots on target)43%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Progreso is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Albion · 0.6 pts / match - Progreso

Albion
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
35% W27% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-10
1.31 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Last 5 at home
0-2-3
DLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.16Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Progreso
LLLLW
Season result split
19% W15% R65% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-17
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-9
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Albion is 85% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Albion · 0.73 goals / match - Progreso

Albion is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - Albion · 1.46 goals / match - Progreso

Albion scoring profile: very strong

Albion scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).

Progreso scoring profile: strong

Progreso scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

35Goals scored (season)19
AlbionProgreso
31Goals conceded (season)38
AlbionProgreso
2.54Average goals in match2.19
AlbionProgreso
5Goals scored (last 5)2
AlbionProgreso
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
AlbionProgreso

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal50%
AlbionProgreso
38%2 goals19%
AlbionProgreso
12%3 goals4%
AlbionProgreso
4%4 goals0%
AlbionProgreso

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal88%
AlbionProgreso
35%2 goals50%
AlbionProgreso
8%3 goals8%
AlbionProgreso
0%4 goals0%
AlbionProgreso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time15%
AlbionProgreso
8%BTTS in both halves8%
AlbionProgreso
15%Scored in both halves15%
AlbionProgreso

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
AlbionProgreso
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
AlbionProgreso
60%BTTS - last 520%
AlbionProgreso

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
AlbionProgreso
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
AlbionProgreso
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
AlbionProgreso

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
AlbionProgreso
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
AlbionProgreso
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time4%
AlbionProgreso

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Albion is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Albion · 0.77 pts / match - Progreso

Albion - half-time state
27% leading42% draw31% trailing
Progreso - half-time state
12% leading42% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)0.77
AlbionProgreso
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.31
AlbionProgreso
0.69Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
AlbionProgreso
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.12
AlbionProgreso
46%Clean sheet before half-time42%
AlbionProgreso
46%No goal before half-time73%
AlbionProgreso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.19Points per match (2nd half)0.96
AlbionProgreso
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
AlbionProgreso
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
AlbionProgreso
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.08
AlbionProgreso
54%Clean sheet after half-time42%
AlbionProgreso
65%No goal after half-time62%
AlbionProgreso

Albion - second-half results

27% W38% R35% P
32
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Progreso - second-half results

19% W38% R42% P
20
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.80
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.21.4
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Albion
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
4
7
16-30
8
7
31-45
5
2
46-60
5
3
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
5
46-60
1
6
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+48%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
37%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

AlbionLigaProgreso
Average goals in match 2.542.35 2.19
Both teams scored 58%50% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%44% 38%
Clean sheets 23%29% 12%
Goal before half-time 77%66% 69%
Goal after half-time 69%72% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Albion 1 - 1 - 0 Progreso. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Albion and Progreso play?

Albion face Progreso on 5 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Luis Franzini. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Albion and Progreso?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Albion won 1, Progreso won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Albion vs Progreso?

Albion score 1.35 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.73. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Albion's matches and 38% of Progreso's.

What form are Albion and Progreso in?

Over the last 5 games Albion have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Progreso 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albion vs Progreso?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Albion vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.