Albion vs Progreso: match statistics
Albion vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Albion played Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 7 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Albion: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Progreso: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Albion scores 1.35 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.73 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Albion 58%, Progreso 38%. Over 2.5: Albion 54%, Progreso 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Albion has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.16. Albion: 9.5 shots per match, Progreso: 8.5.
Match halves
Albion: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.65. Progreso: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Albion: 31-45+ (8 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Albion have a clearly stronger home profile: they average 1.77 goals per match, while Progreso score just 0.62 goals away from home. The visitors have lost 69% of their away matches and failed to score in 54% of them, while keeping a clean sheet in only 8% of games, which significantly limits their chances. The hosts create more danger, averaging 9.77 shots and 4.46 shots on target per match, compared with 8.23 and 3.31 for Progreso, while their average xG stands at 1.28 versus 1.13 for their opponents. Caution is warranted, however, given Albion’s very poor recent form: they are winless in their last five matches, scoring just 3 goals and losing 4 times. Progreso are also in crisis, with 1 goal and 4 defeats in their last five appearances, so home advantage should marginally tip the balance in Albion’s favour.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal is Progreso’s very poor current scoring form: they have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game, with BTTS landing in none of those appearances. Albion have also been unimpressive offensively, averaging 0.6 goals across their last 5 fixtures, so the scenario of both teams scoring has limited support. Across the entire season, BTTS has landed in only 38% of matches involving either team, well below the league average of 50%. Progreso failed to score in 54% of their matches this season, while Albion did so in 46%, significantly increasing the chance that at least one side will once again draw a blank. Although the average xG stands at 1.15 for Albion and 1.13 for Progreso, recent goal production—particularly from the visitors—strongly supports the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams are in poor attacking form: Albion have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, while Progreso have managed only 1. During this period, their average goals scored stand at 0.6 and 0.2 respectively, with average xG figures of 0.90 and 1.12, which does not point to an open game. Historically, fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 85% of Albion’s matches and as many as 92% of Progreso’s, while the league averages 2.35 goals per game. Progreso have not exceeded the 2.5-goal line in any of their last five appearances, and only 8% of their matches throughout the season have ended with at least four goals. The projected total of 1.70 goals supports Under 3.5 goals as by far the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at both half-time and full-time, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 4 of their last 5 matches. Progreso failed to score before the break in any of those five games, while Albion averaged just 0.4 goals in the first half, significantly limiting the chances of either side taking an early lead. Over the course of the season, Albion have more frequently held a lead at the break, doing so in 23% of matches compared with 0% for Progreso, which makes a draw at half-time followed by a home win a close alternative. After the break, both teams continue to struggle creatively: in their last five appearances, each averaged just 0.2 goals, while also conceding an average of 0.8 and 1.0 goals respectively. Their low scoring averages in recent form—0.6 goals per match for Albion and 0.2 for Progreso—favour a tight game ending in a share of the points.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Albion | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Progreso is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Albion · 0.6 pts / match - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Albion · 0.73 goals / match - Progreso
Albion is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Albion · 1.46 goals / match - Progreso
Albion scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 matches).
Progreso scores in 50% of matches (13 of 26 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Albion
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Albion · 0.77 pts / match - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Albion
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Albion | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.54 | 2.35 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 54% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Albion 1 - 1 - 0 Progreso. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Albion vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Albion 0:1 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Albion and Progreso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Albion won 1, Progreso won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Albion vs Progreso?
Albion score 1.35 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.73. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Albion's matches and 38% of Progreso's.
What form are Albion and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Albion have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Progreso 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Albion vs Progreso?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Albion vs Progreso: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.