Alcione vs Trento: match statistics
Alcione vs Trento: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Alcione played Trento in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Campo comunale Mendrisio. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Alcione: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Trento: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Alcione scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Trento scores 1.29 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Alcione 71%, Trento 29%. Over 2.5: Alcione 57%, Trento 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Trento has higher xG: 2.08 vs 1.48. Alcione: 12.3 shots per match, Trento: 17.6.
Match halves
Alcione: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Trento: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Alcione: 76-90+ (5 goals). Trento: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw is the most likely outcome, as Trento have drawn all 3 of their away matches so far, while Alcione have shared the points in 3 of their last 5 games. The visitors are in better form: they have taken 9 points and conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, compared with the hosts' 6 points and 10 goals conceded. Trento create chances worth an average of 2,13 xG away from home, compared with Alcione's 1,50 xG at home, but score only 0,67 goals per game on the road and have failed to score in 67% of those matches. Alcione average 1,33 goals scored at home but concede 2,00, increasing the visitors' chances of finding the net. Trento's stronger defensive record, conceding an average of 0,67 goals away from home, offsets the hosts' edge in attacking efficiency and points towards another share of the spoils.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal points to at least one team failing to score: BTTS occurred in 25% of Alcione’s home matches and 33% of Trento’s away matches. The visitors failed to score in 67% of their away matches, while the hosts kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home matches, conceding an average of just 0.25 goals. Although Trento averaged 1.4 goals across its last 5 matches, with an xG of 2.0, Alcione kept a clean sheet in 75% of its home matches. On the other hand, Alcione averages 1.75 goals at home, but Trento conceded just 0.4 goals per match in its last 5 outings, so BTTS - Yes remains the less likely scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 75% of Alcione’s home matches and 67% of Trento’s away matches. The hosts average 1.75 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded at home, while the visitors score 0.67 goals per away game and failed to find the net in 67% of those matches. In addition, Trento have conceded just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, limiting the potential for a high-scoring game. However, caution is warranted, as the teams’ xG figures are 2.03 and 2.13 respectively, and Alcione have conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches. Therefore, the projected total of 2.30 goals gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the riskier Under 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Alcione went into the break level in 3 of 4 home matches, while Trento did so in 2 of 3 away fixtures. After the break, the hosts hold the advantage: they average 1.0 goal in the second half at home and have yet to concede, while the visitors have failed to score after the break in any of their away matches. Alcione’s full-time victory is also supported by their average of 2.5 points at home, compared with Trento’s 1.0 point away. However, the X/1 pick is not certain: across their last five matches, regardless of venue, Trento averaged 1.8 points compared with Alcione’s 1.2, so a full-time draw remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Alcione | Trento | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Trento is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Alcione · 1.8 pts / match - Trento
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alcione is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Alcione · 1.29 goals / match - Trento
Trento is 265% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Alcione · 0.43 goals / match - Trento
Alcione scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Trento keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
Trento scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Alcione keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Alcione
Over / Under - Trento
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Trento is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Alcione · 1.57 pts / match - Trento
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Alcione - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Trento - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Alcione
Trento
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Alcione | Liga | Trento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 51% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 33% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Alcione 1 - 0 - 1 Trento. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Alcione vs Trento?
The Serie C Group A match finished Alcione 2:2 Trento. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Alcione and Trento?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1, Trento won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Alcione vs Trento?
Alcione score 1.43 goals per game on average and Trento 1.29. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Alcione's matches and 29% of Trento's.
What form are Alcione and Trento in?
Over the last 5 games Alcione have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Trento 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Alcione vs Trento?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.