Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: match statistics
Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Aldershot Town played Carlisle United in National League (England). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: The EBB Stadium.. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Aldershot Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carlisle United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Aldershot Town scores 1.45 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Carlisle United scores 1.82 and concedes 1.73. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Aldershot Town 64%, Carlisle United 82%. Over 2.5: Aldershot Town 36%, Carlisle United 55%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.35. Aldershot Town: 9.4 shots per match, Carlisle United: 15.3.
Match halves
Aldershot Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73. Carlisle United: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Aldershot Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). Carlisle United: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Aldershot Town sit 5th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while Carlisle United, 20th in the table, have failed to win during that period and have lost 3 times. The hosts scored 9 goals and conceded 4 across those five matches, while the visitors netted 6 and conceded 11, clearly favouring Aldershot. At home, Aldershot average 2 goals per match and win 60% of their games, whereas Carlisle average 0.75 goals away and have yet to win. Although Carlisle’s away xG stands at 1.41 compared with Aldershot’s 1.32 at home, the visitors convert just 8% of their shots into goals, against 22% for the hosts. This difference in finishing, combined with Aldershot’s lower average of 0.8 goals conceded at home compared with Carlisle’s 1.25 away, points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes has landed in 100% of Aldershot’s home matches and 75% of Carlisle’s away matches, compared with a league average of 65%. The hosts score an average of 2.5 goals at home and register 8.5 shots on target per match, making them very likely to find the net. Carlisle’s chances are boosted by the fact that Aldershot concede an average of 2.33 goals at home and are yet to keep a clean sheet there. However, caution is warranted, as the visitors score only 0.75 goals per away match and have failed to score in 25% of those games. Even so, Carlisle averaged 1.2 goals across their last five matches, with both teams scoring in 80% of them, which supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Aldershot score an average of 2.5 goals at home, and 100% of their matches have gone over 1.5 goals; the figure is 75% in Carlisle’s away matches. The hosts average 8.5 shots on target compared with 3.0 for the visitors, pointing to a greater share of the projected 3.1 goals. Carlisle have conceded 11 goals in their last five matches, or 2.2 per game, although only 25% of their away matches have gone over 2.5 goals. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than higher lines: it does not require as high a scoreline and is supported by both Aldershot’s attacking output and the visitors’ defensive record.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Although Aldershot led at the break in 4 of their 6 home matches, they failed to score in the first half in 4 of their last 5 games. Carlisle were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, making a draw after 45 minutes slightly more likely than a home lead. After the break, the advantage shifts towards Aldershot: they averaged 1.0 second-half goals in their last 5 matches, while Carlisle conceded an average of 1.6 over the same period. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have won none, and their average xG figures are 2.30 and 1.41, respectively. The strongest HT/FT pick is therefore a half-time draw followed by an Aldershot win, although the hosts’ strong starts at home mean that an Aldershot lead at the break remains almost equally likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Aldershot Town | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Aldershot Town is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Aldershot Town · 1 pts / match - Carlisle United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 26% better for: goals scored per match.
1.45 goals / match - Aldershot Town · 1.82 goals / match - Carlisle United
Aldershot Town is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Aldershot Town · 1.73 goals / match - Carlisle United
Aldershot Town scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Carlisle United scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Aldershot Town keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Aldershot Town
Over / Under - Carlisle United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Aldershot Town · 1.91 pts / match - Carlisle United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Aldershot Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Aldershot Town
Carlisle United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Aldershot Town | Liga | Carlisle United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.36 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | • 64% | 64% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 18% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 72% | ▲ 91% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 87% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Aldershot Town 0 - 0 - 2 Carlisle United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The National League match finished Aldershot Town 1:3 Carlisle United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Aldershot Town and Carlisle United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Aldershot Town won 0, Carlisle United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
Aldershot Town score 1.45 goals per game on average and Carlisle United 1.82. The National League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Aldershot Town's matches and 82% of Carlisle United's.
What form are Aldershot Town and Carlisle United in?
Over the last 5 games Aldershot Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carlisle United 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United?
The statistical background for Aldershot Town vs Carlisle United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.