Argentina - Prim B NacionalEstadio Tres de FebreroData current as of 20 October 2026

Almagro vs Tristán Suárez: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Almagro vs Tristán Suárez: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Almagro play Tristán Suárez in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Tres de Febrero.

Current form

Almagro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Tristán Suárez: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Almagro scores 0.91 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Tristán Suárez scores 0.97 and concedes 0.44. League average: 1.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Almagro 44%, Tristán Suárez 26%. Over 2.5: Almagro 35%, Tristán Suárez 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 33%.

xG, shots and style

Tristán Suárez has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.13. Almagro: 8.3 shots per match, Tristán Suárez: 8.7.

Match halves

Almagro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.56. Tristán Suárez: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Almagro: 46-60 (7 goals). Tristán Suárez: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.95 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 33%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.90)
(2.60)
(2.15)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.91Goals scored / match0.97
AlmagroTristán Suárez
1.21Goals conceded / match0.44
AlmagroTristán Suárez
46%Average possession44%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
2.85Shots on target / match3.12
AlmagroTristán Suárez

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.32Shots per match8.65
AlmagroTristán Suárez
2.85Shots on target3.12
AlmagroTristán Suárez
11%Shot conversion11.2%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
46%Possession44%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
1.13xG for1.17
AlmagroTristán Suárez
1.58xG against1.24
AlmagroTristán Suárez

Shooting quality

Almagro: BalancedTristán Suárez: Balanced
AlmagroTristán Suárez
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Tristán Suárez is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Almagro · 1.8 pts / match - Tristán Suárez

Almagro
LLWWL
Season result split
32% W24% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-8-15
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-4-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DLDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Tristán Suárez
DWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W41% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
16-14-4
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-7-3
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 0.97BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Tristán Suárez is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Almagro · 0.97 goals / match - Tristán Suárez

Tristán Suárez is 175% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Almagro · 0.44 goals / match - Tristán Suárez

Almagro scoring profile: more difficult

Almagro scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 71% (24 of 34 matches).

Tristán Suárez scoring profile: strong

Tristán Suárez scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

31Goals scored (season)33
AlmagroTristán Suárez
41Goals conceded (season)15
AlmagroTristán Suárez
2.12Average goals in match1.41
AlmagroTristán Suárez
6Goals scored (last 5)2
AlmagroTristán Suárez
8Goals conceded (last 5)0
AlmagroTristán Suárez

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal62%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
26%2 goals26%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
3%3 goals9%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0%4 goals0%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal29%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
29%2 goals9%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
9%3 goals6%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
3%4 goals0%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time15%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
6%Scored in both halves18%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
80%BTTS - last 50%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time26%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time41%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
26%Min. 2 goals after half-time21%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tristán Suárez is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.88 pts / match - Almagro · 1.5 pts / match - Tristán Suárez

Almagro - half-time state
9% leading62% draw29% trailing
Tristán Suárez - half-time state
29% leading62% draw9% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.88Points per match (1st half)1.5
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.53
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.97Average goals (1st half)0.79
AlmagroTristán Suárez
53%Clean sheet before half-time76%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
76%No goal before half-time56%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.53
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
AlmagroTristán Suárez
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.18
AlmagroTristán Suárez
1.15Average goals (2nd half)0.62
AlmagroTristán Suárez
56%Clean sheet after half-time88%
AlmagroTristán Suárez
56%No goal after half-time65%
AlmagroTristán Suárez

Almagro - second-half results

32% W35% D32% L
30
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding356%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tristán Suárez - second-half results

29% W65% D6% L
51
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Almagro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tristán Suárez - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.0
Average goals in match0.40.0
1 goal40%0%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Almagro
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
4
7
16-30
4
8
31-45
7
7
46-60
5
8
61-75
7
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Tristán Suárez
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
11
2
16-30
2
5
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Almagro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.15
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
159%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Tristán Suárez

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-22.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.80
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
128%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
37%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

AlmagroLigaTristán Suárez
Average goals in match▲ 2.121.95▼ 1.41
Both teams scored▲ 44%40%▼ 26%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 35%33%▼ 24%
Clean sheets▼ 26%38%▲ 71%
Goal before half-time▼ 53%56%▼ 53%
Goal after half-time• 71%70%▼ 41%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.95
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.76
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Almagro 0 - 1 - 2 Tristán Suárez. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Tristán Suárez
0 : 0
Almagro
Club Almagro
0 : 1
CSyD Tristán Suárez
CSyD Tristán Suárez
2 : 1
Club Almagro

FAQ

When do Almagro and Tristán Suárez play?

Almagro face Tristán Suárez on 24 October 2026 in Prim B Nacional at Estadio Tres de Febrero. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Almagro and Tristán Suárez?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Almagro won 0, Tristán Suárez won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

Almagro score 0.91 goals per game on average and Tristán Suárez 0.97. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Almagro's matches and 26% of Tristán Suárez's.

What form are Almagro and Tristán Suárez in?

Over the last 5 games Almagro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tristán Suárez 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Almagro vs Tristán Suárez: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.