Almería vs Real Sociedad II: match statistics
Almería vs Real Sociedad II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Almería played Real Sociedad II in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Almería: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Real Sociedad II: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Almería scores 1.90 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Real Sociedad II scores 1.42 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Almería 71%, Real Sociedad II 52%. Over 2.5: Almería 71%, Real Sociedad II 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Almería has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.33. Almería: 15.1 shots per match, Real Sociedad II: 12.1.
Match halves
Almería: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.00. Real Sociedad II: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Almería: 76-90+ (15 goals). Real Sociedad II: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Almería have a clear home advantage — 2nd in the table, 67% home wins, averaging 2.4 goals and 16.47 shots per match. Home xG (1.86) exceeds xG against (1.35), confirming offensive efficiency and low FTS (7%). Real Sociedad II show weaker away stats: 13th, only 27% away wins, lower possession (41%) and fewer shots per match. Visitors also register higher goalless matches and higher away xG against, indicating defensive susceptibility. The sum of factors favors a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Moderately strong BTTS signal: Almería season BTTS 56% (L5 60%), Real Sociedad II 47% (L5 40%), league avg BTTS 54%. Both generate similar xG (1.29 vs 1.36) and have high xG against (1.57 vs 1.72), suggesting chances for both to score and concede. Season goals (1.56 vs 1.27), ~12 shots per game and relatively low CS rates (31% and 20%) increase BTTS probability. Defensively both can be exposed, supporting Goal/Goal. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Season and last-5 stats show moderately high scoring potential: Almería avg 1.56 goals, Real Sociedad II 1.27, with xG ~1.29 and 1.36 respectively. High season Over1.5 rates (75% and 73%) and BTTS percentages suggest a strong chance to exceed 1.5 goals. Over2.5 is more balanced (50% home, 40% away) with moderate xG, so Over2.5 probability is moderate. Over3.5 appears unlikely given low season values (31% and 13%) and average shot/conversion numbers. Recommendation: Over 1.5 as the strongest and most probable signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Almería has a clear seasonal and home advantage (higher PPG, better goal differential) and stronger HT statistics (avg 0.81 HT goals vs 0.4 for opponents). In the last 5 matches hosts led at Half-Time in 60% of cases, confirming a tendency to impose pace early. xG is balanced, but Almería’s HT defense is better and Real Sociedad II struggles to score in the first half. Overall the data indicate the most likely scenario is Almería leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time. Other combinations (HT draws or turnarounds) have significantly lower probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Almería | Real Sociedad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almería is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Almería · 1.8 pts / match - Real Sociedad II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Almería is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Almería · 1.42 goals / match - Real Sociedad II
Almería scores in 90% of matches (28 of 31 matches), while Real Sociedad II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Real Sociedad II scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Almería keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Almería
Over / Under - Real Sociedad II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Almería is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.68 pts / match - Almería · 1.29 pts / match - Real Sociedad II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Almería - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Sociedad II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Almería
Real Sociedad II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Almería | Liga | Real Sociedad II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 68% | • 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Almería 0 - 1 - 0 Real Sociedad II. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Almería vs Real Sociedad II?
The Segunda División match finished Almería 5:1 Real Sociedad II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Almería vs Real Sociedad II?
Almería score 1.90 goals per game on average and Real Sociedad II 1.42. The Segunda División average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Almería's matches and 52% of Real Sociedad II's.
What form are Almería and Real Sociedad II in?
Over the last 5 games Almería have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Real Sociedad II 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Almería vs Real Sociedad II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Almería vs Real Sociedad II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.