Altrincham vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Altrincham vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Altrincham played Eastleigh in National League (England). The match was played on 4 September 2026. Venue: The J. Davidson Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Altrincham: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Eastleigh: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Altrincham scores 1.00 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Eastleigh scores 1.40 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Altrincham 60%, Eastleigh 60%. Over 2.5: Altrincham 60%, Eastleigh 40%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Eastleigh has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.11. Altrincham: 7.8 shots per match, Eastleigh: 8.6.
Match halves
Altrincham: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Eastleigh: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Altrincham: 0-15 (1 goals). Eastleigh: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Altrincham are only 19th in the table, but they average 1.5 goals and 4.5 shots on target per game at home—significantly more than Eastleigh manage away from home (0.5 goals and 2 shots on target). The hosts also create better chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.38 compared with 0.99 for the visitors. Eastleigh sit higher in the standings in 4th place and have won 3 of their last 5 matches; however, they have failed to score in 50% of their away games. The visitors are defensively solid on the road, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals and keeping a clean sheet in half of their away fixtures. Despite this defensive edge, Altrincham’s greater attacking activity at home, combined with the fact that they have scored in every home match, marginally favours a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Altrincham average 2.5 goals at home, but Eastleigh score only 0.5 goals away from home, with just 2.0 shots on target per match. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while also failing to score in 50% of away games, which clearly strengthens the scenario in which at least one side fails to score. Over the last five matches, both teams average 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, yet Eastleigh’s BTTS rate during this period is only 40%, compared with 60% for Altrincham. Eastleigh’s xG of 0.99 across the season and 1.02 in the last five matches does not provide as strong a case for an away goal as the home side’s attack does for an Altrincham goal. Although Altrincham have not yet kept a clean sheet, Eastleigh’s poor attacking efficiency and solid defensive record slightly favour BTTS - No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Altrincham have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded over their last five matches, while Eastleigh have recorded identical averages of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The hosts’ potential is supported by a higher xG over their last five games, at 1.23 compared with 1.02 for the visitors, while Eastleigh have allowed opponents 1.41 xG per match. At least three goals were scored in six of the teams’ last ten matches, and the league average of 3.04 goals is significantly higher than the projected 2.50. However, Over 1.5 remains the strongest pick, as both teams regularly concede goals and just two goals are needed to cover this line. The 2.5 line is considerably more balanced, given that both teams’ current attacking form is only around 1.2 goals per match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Altrincham have a clear home advantage: they have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 2.5 goals and 4.5 shots on target per game, compared with Eastleigh’s 0.5 goals and 2.0 shots on target away from home. The hosts led at the break in both of their two home matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goals before half-time and conceding none, while Eastleigh drew 0–0 at half-time in both away fixtures and failed to score. The chance-quality advantage also lies with Altrincham, whose average xG stands at 1.38 compared with 0.99 for the visitors, while Eastleigh score with only 8% of their shots, compared with 24% for the hosts. The last five matches temper the extent of the favoritism, as both teams have averaged 1.2 goals per game, although Altrincham have scored 1.0 goal per match before half-time compared with Eastleigh’s 0.4. The most likely scenario therefore remains an Altrincham lead at the break followed by a win at the final whistle, corresponding to the HT/FT 1/1 selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Altrincham | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Altrincham · 2 pts / match - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Altrincham · 1.4 goals / match - Eastleigh
Eastleigh is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Altrincham · 1 goals / match - Eastleigh
Altrincham scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Eastleigh scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Altrincham keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Altrincham
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eastleigh is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Altrincham · 1.8 pts / match - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Altrincham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Altrincham
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Altrincham | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 72% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Altrincham 1 - 0 - 1 Eastleigh. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Altrincham 2:1 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Altrincham and Eastleigh?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Altrincham won 1, Eastleigh won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
Altrincham score 1.00 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.40. The National League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Altrincham's matches and 60% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Altrincham and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Altrincham have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Eastleigh 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Altrincham vs Eastleigh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.