Slovenia - PrvaLigaŠportni Park AluminijData current as of 15 October 2026

Aluminij vs Olimpija: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Aluminij vs Olimpija: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Aluminij play Olimpija in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Športni Park Aluminij.

Current form

Aluminij: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Olimpija: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Aluminij scores 1.45 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Olimpija scores 1.18 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Aluminij 45%, Olimpija 36%. Over 2.5: Aluminij 36%, Olimpija 36%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Olimpija has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.27. Aluminij: 9.6 shots per match, Olimpija: 13.8.

Match halves

Aluminij: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Olimpija: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82.

Goals by minute

Aluminij: 0-15 (4 goals). Olimpija: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

PrvaLiga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-4. Average goals 2.40, BTTS 60%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.84)
(3.44)
(1.80)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.45Goals scored / match1.18
AluminijOlimpija
1.09Goals conceded / match1
AluminijOlimpija
43%Average possession55%
AluminijOlimpija
3.64Shots on target / match4.91
AluminijOlimpija

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.55Shots per match13.82
AluminijOlimpija
3.64Shots on target4.91
AluminijOlimpija
15.2%Shot conversion8.6%
AluminijOlimpija
43%Possession55%
AluminijOlimpija
1.27xG for1.8
AluminijOlimpija
1.68xG against1.21
AluminijOlimpija

Shooting quality

Aluminij: Counter-attackingOlimpija: Balanced
AluminijOlimpija
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Olimpija is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.6 pts / match - Olimpija

Aluminij
LDWDL
Season result split
27% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-4
1.18 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
DWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 2.05BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Olimpija
DWWLD
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.77Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Aluminij is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Aluminij · 1.18 goals / match - Olimpija

Olimpija is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Aluminij · 1 goals / match - Olimpija

Aluminij scoring profile: mixed

Aluminij scores in 45% of matches (5 of 11 matches), while Olimpija keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Olimpija scoring profile: very strong

Olimpija scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Aluminij keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

16Goals scored (season)13
AluminijOlimpija
12Goals conceded (season)11
AluminijOlimpija
2.55Average goals in match2.18
AluminijOlimpija
8Goals scored (last 5)10
AluminijOlimpija
6Goals conceded (last 5)6
AluminijOlimpija

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal64%
AluminijOlimpija
36%2 goals27%
AluminijOlimpija
27%3 goals27%
AluminijOlimpija
18%4 goals0%
AluminijOlimpija

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal64%
AluminijOlimpija
27%2 goals27%
AluminijOlimpija
0%3 goals9%
AluminijOlimpija
0%4 goals0%
AluminijOlimpija

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
AluminijOlimpija
0%BTTS in both halves0%
AluminijOlimpija
18%Scored in both halves18%
AluminijOlimpija

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS27%
AluminijOlimpija
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
AluminijOlimpija
40%BTTS - last 560%
AluminijOlimpija

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
AluminijOlimpija
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time9%
AluminijOlimpija
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
AluminijOlimpija

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
AluminijOlimpija
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
AluminijOlimpija
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
AluminijOlimpija

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Olimpija is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.27 pts / match - Aluminij · 1.36 pts / match - Olimpija

Aluminij - half-time state
27% leading45% draw27% trailing
Olimpija - half-time state
27% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.27Points per match (1st half)1.36
AluminijOlimpija
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.36
AluminijOlimpija
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
AluminijOlimpija
1.18Average goals (1st half)0.64
AluminijOlimpija
64%Clean sheet before half-time73%
AluminijOlimpija
64%No goal before half-time64%
AluminijOlimpija

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.27
AluminijOlimpija
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.82
AluminijOlimpija
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
AluminijOlimpija
1.36Average goals (2nd half)1.55
AluminijOlimpija
45%Clean sheet after half-time45%
AluminijOlimpija
73%No goal after half-time55%
AluminijOlimpija

Aluminij - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
14
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Olimpija - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
15
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Aluminij - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Olimpija - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.82.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Aluminij
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Olimpija
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
3
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
29%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Aluminij

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Olimpija

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).

Teams vs league

AluminijLigaOlimpija
Average goals in match▼ 2.552.70▼ 2.18
Both teams scored▼ 45%54%▼ 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 36%50%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▼ 18%28%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▼ 55%74%▼ 55%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%80%▲ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Aluminij 0 - 1 - 4 Olimpija. Average goals 2.40, both teams scored in 60% matches.

Olimpija
1 : 0
Aluminij
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
2 : 1
NK Aluminij
NK Aluminij
1 : 2
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
1 : 1
NK Aluminij
NK Aluminij
0 : 3
NK Olimpija Ljubljana

FAQ

When do Aluminij and Olimpija play?

Aluminij face Olimpija on 16 October 2026 in PrvaLiga at Športni Park Aluminij. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Aluminij and Olimpija?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Aluminij won 0, Olimpija won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.40 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Aluminij vs Olimpija?

Aluminij score 1.45 goals per game on average and Olimpija 1.18. The PrvaLiga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Aluminij's matches and 36% of Olimpija's.

What form are Aluminij and Olimpija in?

Over the last 5 games Aluminij have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Olimpija 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Aluminij vs Olimpija?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Aluminij vs Olimpija: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.